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National Health Service History

Geoffrey Rivett

home inheritance1948-19571958-19671968-1977 1978-1987  1988-19971998-2007 2008-2017envoishort history London's hospitals

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Chapter 7

2008 - 2017

Chapter contents

Introduction

Health Service Policy

Organisational Change

Finance

Quality

Medical progress

General Practice and primary care

Hospital Services

Medical Education and Staffing

Nursing

Chronology:

Background Year NHS Events 
Gordon Brown PM
Global financial crisis
Burma cyclone/Chinese Earthquake
Beijing Olympics
Russian/Georgian conflict
2008Alan Johnson SOS
Regional (Darzi) reviews
Final Darzi Review Report,  High Quality Care for All


Israeli invasion of Gaza strip
Barack Obama  President of USA
Parliamentary financial scandals
UK Population 61 million
Copenhagen climate conference
2009NHS Constitution
Mid-Staffs Report on poor quality health care
Care Quality Commission takes over from Healthcare Commission
Andy Burnham Secretary of State for Health
Financial stringency
Swine flu concern and mass immunisation
Prime Minister's Nursing Commission
Haiti earthquake
Obama's historic US healthcare plan
Election - LibDem/Conservative coalition, David Cameron PM
Gulf of Mexico BP Oil spill
IPad launched
2010Andrew Lansley SOS
Equity and Excellence, liberating the NHS
 2011 
 2012 
 2013 
 2014 
 2015 
 2016 
 2017 
   

Introduction

The decade opened with a world wide financial problem that steadily escalated. A crisis in the USA caused by "sub-prime" mortgage loans, repackaged as 'derivatives' on which there was default, escalated into global economic difficulties, to which problems in European and Greek economies added.. Recession turned into depression, tax revenues fell and social security payments rose. For two years the housing market was depressed. The biggest wave of British immigration slowed in 2008 as the country became less attractive to Eastern European migrants, although future estimates of population suggested a significant continuing rise. Public sector workers considered or took strike action.   The United Nations eight millennium development goals, for example combating hunger, child mortality and AIDS, were unlikely to be met as rising food prices and the cost of oil pushed millions more into poverty. As conflict in Iraq subsided, that in Afghanistan increased. Natural disasters such as an  earthquake in Haiti with 200,000 dead stretched aid agencies. The projections for the future development of the NHS were depressing. The election of a new US president, Barrack Obama, lifted the mood but did not solve financial problems or those of the middle east or terrorism. However a historic decision under Obama set in train a continuing process of extending coverage to almost all of the legally resident USA population, and create incentives to contain the unaffordable growth of US health care costs.

Labour's continuous control of the NHS throughout the sixth decade came to an end.  In the run up to the 2010 election the economy was the major issue, the NHS being an important but subsidiary one as it had all-party support. In May 2010 Labour polled far fewer seats than the Conservatives who, in coalition with the Liberal Democrats, formed the new government.

A perfect storm

Health services were hit by a perfect storm internationally.  Money was going to be tight but people's expectations were increasing  in a "me too" society where high earners in a celebrity culture of sport, media and banking were only too apparent. Technology was providing a growing number of expensive goodies, radiotherapy was far more precise and effective, imaging of a quality unbelievable only years previously and some forty new drugs for cancer were in the offing, each costing some £2-3,000 a month.  The population was aging, bringing increased costs, and death was somehow seen as optional, to be postponed if enough money was spent.  How could one pay for the triumph of medicine?

The 60th anniversary of the NHS

The anniversary in 2008 was widely commemorated.  Health Service Journal listed the 60 people considered most influential, Bevan being the undoubted winner.  Few publications celebrated clinical developments or the improving service to patients.  Most dealt with macro issues of politics and funding.  The House Magazine (of the Houses of Parliament) produced a supplement commenting the Secretaries of State of the last 30 years and articles by those ex Ministers.  Frank Dobson attacked the health policies of his party and its accent on the market place.  Alan Milburn believed that devolution had not proceeded far enough and suggested that the better local authorities might undertake health service purchasing.  The King's Fund produced an analysis of changing workload, finance and waiting times over 60 years.  The braver souls predicted the future of the service, urging major changes in finance and organisation that were unlikely to occur. The Nuffield Trust published Rejuvenate or Retire, views of the NHS at 60 in which senior figures mused on the past performance and future possibilities of the NHS. There was basic agreement that it should remain taxpayer-funded, free at the point of use. Even those who believed in the insurance model did not think it would happen.  When the question of radical alterations had been raised 20 years previously with Mrs. Thatcher, Sir Kenneth Stowe then Permanent Secretary, recalled her saying "There is no constituency for change."  Most agreed that the purchaser-provider split was vital, that the private sector must provide important competitor services within the NHS and that more decisions should be taken locally.

The four UK Health Ministers restated the principles of the NHS.

  1. A comprehensive service available to all

  2. Access to services based on clinical needs and not on the ability to pay

  3. Aspiration to high standards of excellence and professionalism

  4. NHS services must reflect the needs and preferences of patients, their families and their carers

  5. Working across organisational boundaries with other organisations in the interests of patients, communities and the wider population

  6. Commitment to the best value for taxpayers' money, making the most effective and fair use of finite resources

  7. Accountability to the public, communities and patients that it serves.

Twenty years previously the Conservatives had introduced a Patient's Charter largely enshrining existing principles and patients' rights.  Now Labour consulted on  a constitution for the NHS, an idea that had been trawled by the BMA in 2007. This pulled together existing rights, responsibilities and pledges, the right for patients to make choices about their NHS care, including choosing their general practice and expressing a preference for a particular doctor.  It reaffirmed that the principles of the NHS. It included the right to drugs and treatment recommended by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence, if approved by the patient’s doctor, and "to expect local decisions on funding of other drugs and treatments to be made rationally following proper consideration of the evidence."  It was a helpful summary  of rights, pledges and responsibilities.  When it was published in January 2009 the pubic response was lethargic.  Against gathering financial storms the Chief Executive's report for 2008-9 said that "we will need to release unprecedented levels of efficiency savings between 2011 and 2014 – between £15 billion and £20 billion across the service over the three years."

Health service information systems

To improve access to non-emergency services a new emergency phone number, 111, was introduced in 2010 initially in the north east, to be rolled out over the country if it proved valuable replacing the NHS Direct 0845 4647 telephone number.  Staffed by call advisers, supported by nurses, callers’ needs would be assessed to ensure they received the right service as quickly as possible, guiding patients to a locally available service or advice and information 24 hours a day, 365 days a year. It would be used when help was needed fast, but not for life threatening problems, perhaps outside of GP surgery hours and for people away from home.  Many of the services provided by NHS Direct might be subsumed by the new NHS 111 service.

Internet was now a major source of information for professionals and the public alike.  Even 19th Century archive material, such as the British Medical Journal, was available online at PubMed.  Patients had reliable sources of information from the NHS website  (NHS Choices), but also from a patient's perspective on  Health talk online.

The NHS’s two websites, NHS Choices (www.nhs.uk) and NHS Direct (www.nhsdirect.nhs.uk) had been united to provide a comprehensive online health information service. Where the roll out of the 111 phone number left these sites was unclear.  Originally differing in objectives, NHS Direct provided health advice and information whilst NHS Choices promoted well-being and informed decision making about healthcare providers, they would now include a self help guide, a health encyclopaedia, frequently asked questions and an online enquiry service.  'Dr Foster' lost the contract to develop NHS Choices, but launched its own hospital and consultant guide that had far more specific information on hospitals and individual consultants.

Pressure for revision of the NHS IT programme increased with the publication of the second report of the Public Accounts Committee and the completion date was set back to 2014-5.  Hospital trusts might now install their own system if it was compatible with the national network.  Suppliers and the government were locked in contractual disputes and the philosophy and ambitions of the programme were questioned.  At the end of 2009, following pilot trials, the first Summary Care Records (a secure electronic summary of core information such as medications, allergies, adverse reactions and key health information derived initially from the patient’s GP record and added to as necessary by other healthcare staff ) began to be rolled out across the country. Patients were asked if their records could be included - less than 1% opted out.

In the 2010 Pre-Budget Report the multi-billion-pound NHS IT programme was scaled back.  With the new coalition government money would be saved by abandoning uniform software if hospitals already had a system fit for purpose.  Connecting for Health had three systems plus others that foundation trusts had chosen to install. There had been successes, NHSmail, PACS and Choose and Book, but IT spending was certain to be scrutinised.

Technology was not standing still, and wireless technology was increasingly available, transmitting patient test results and electronic patient records.

Secretaries of State

Alan Johnson 2007- 2009
(Labour)
 Alan Johnson
Andy Burnham June 2009-May 2010
(Labour)

NHS 2010–2015: from good to great. preventative, people-centred, productive. (Operating framework 2010).

Andy Burnham
Andrew Lansley  May 2010
(Conservative/LibDem coalition)
Equity and Excellence, liberating the NHS (July 2010)Andrew Lansley

Health Service Policy

Reviewing the reform programme

Changing policies

Research strategies

Cooperation and competition panel

Liberal/Conservative health policy - Equity and Excellence, liberating the NHS

Reviewing the reform programme

The 6th decade reforms included four important innovations, foundation trusts, greater NHS use of the independent sector, patient choice and payment by results.  R G Bevan wrote that 'healthcare systems had  three main goals, to control total costs, to achieve equity in access by need and to achieve excellence in performance (short waiting times, satisfied patients, and good outcomes). BMJ 2008;337:a935.  To achieve these goals economic instruments were needed. Since 1976 the NHS had controlled costs with a cash limited budget and sought equity by distributing funds to populations in relation to their needs. The problem was improving the performance of providers. Before 1991 the NHS had a hierarchical integrated model in which the same organisations were responsible for meeting the needs of their populations and for running providers. Such organisations could be funded equitably for their populations or for the performance of providers, but not both. The internal market with a purchaser-provider split, in which purchasers were funded for their populations and contracted with independent providers, was an attempt at an answer. England had tried four variations of this model in its efforts to improve provider performance, competition between 1991 and 1997; partnership between 1997 and 2000; publishing performance in "star ratings" between 2001 and 2005; and again competition, from 2006 with an attempt to reform the system, changing the methods of payment.

In its report in June 2008 "Is the Treatment Working" the Audit Commission examined the outcome.  It was early for judgement, for the development of foundation trusts and patient choice was behind schedule, detailed information was lacking on choice, and the scale of independent sector treatment centres was limited.  Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had different approaches to health care within their territories. In 2009 Nuffield reviewed their experiences, suggesting that England was comparatively more efficient.  The NHS in England spent less on healthcare and had fewer doctors, nurses and managers per head of population but that it was making better use of the resources it has in terms of delivering higher levels of activity, crude productivity of its staff, and lower waiting times.

The Darzi initiatives

The (Darzi) initiatives sought to improve quality in three ways, by publishing information on clinical performance, by varying tariffs according to quality, and by piloting ways to achieve better integration of primary, community and hospital care.  His reports centred on quality, influenced health service policy,  drove commissioning and encouraged developments already in the pipeline. Darzi had chaired the London Modernisation Committee and examined metropolitan problems at the request of the SHA, NHS London. As a Minister (2007-2009) he gained national influence. A national series of enquiries, the effect of which was clearest in London, involved all regions.  His proposals attracted support - but also criticism not least from family practitioners.

London Darzi reports

National Darzi Reports

 
The Case for Change  (2006)  
Saws and Scalpels (2007) -clinical changeInterim Report (October 2007) 
A Framework for Action  (July 2007)Leading Local Change (the Next Stage review May 2008)
A local hospital model for London (November 2008)High Quality Care for All - The Next Stages final report  (June 2008)
Stroke & Trauma consultation (February 2009)An immense number of working papers were also produced, not listed here 

In May 2008 Lord Darzi published ‘Leading Local Change’  (The Next Stage Review) and his final reportHigh Quality Care for all, appeared at the time of the 60th anniversary.  It was followed by separate strategies on primary and community care, workforce issues (A High Quality Workforce), and informatics. A major effect of the clinical slant of the Darzi proposals was to modify the way hospital (and community) health services might be organised. The King's Fund summarised  High quality care for all - the final report of the Darzi review.

Changing policies

Andy Burnham who became Secretary of State in 2009 seemed a cast-back to Frank Dobson and the old left. Different parts of the Department of Health did not seem to speak to each other and policies seemed increasingly chaotic.  Jargon proliferated - everyone now had a "vision" and Nigel Hawkes pinpointed some of the worst examples.  The use of competition to drive innovation, quality and choice was losing its momentum.  Speaking to the King's Fund in September 2009, Burnham said that the NHS as opposed to the independent sector, was the 'preferred provider', apparently even when delivering a poorer service. Unite, Britain's biggest union and a major funder of the Labour Party, had petitioned the government to "roll back the privatisation of the NHS" and seemed to have  influenced the Secretary of State.  Unite claimed a major victory. The Chief Executive of the NHS wrote to the general secretary of the Trades Union Congress confirming this. Paul Corrigan, an architect of the Blair reforms, saw competition as a driver of change, quality and efficiency.  Andy Burnham was arguing that reform meant working to improve existing services where they were 'good enough'.  The policy of "world class commissioning" implied that everything must be geared to improving the patient's experience.HSJ 2009, 29 October, 5th  Where was this policy if there was, in effect, no choice? The voluntary sectors appealed to the Cooperation and Competition Panel,  which looked set to challenge the new restrictions until the Department instructed PCTs to seek approval in principle for their plans.  Subsequent guidance, referring to European legislation and transparency, muddied the waters.  As community services were separated from primary care trust management, most looked likely to be taken over by hospital trusts, in effect vertical integration.BMJ; 2010 340:c1604

At a time of financial stringency, Labour said the NHS would have to pay for treatment in the private sector if patients were not treated in the NHS within target times. In the Home Office the decision of the Secretary of State, Alan Johnson (late of the Department of Health) to sack Professor David Nutt, the chairman of the Advisory Committee on Misuse of Drugs apparently because the committee's view did not agree with his, opened up a national furore about government's wish to listen to outside expertise and "its rather poor understanding of science". (Lord Winston)

A :Labour government policy statement "Building Britain's Future", which covered many public services appeared in March 2009.  It contained a number of pledges some of which aimed to turn targets into entitlements. These would be enforceable (but not legally) and many represented initiatives already in progress, for example hospital treatment within 18 weeks, access to a cancer specialist within 2 weeks, and free health-checks on the NHS for people aged 40-74.  The 2010 operating framework (From Good to Great) reiterated the need for a preventative people centred service, within the cold financial climate.

Cooperation and Competition Panel

The Panel was established in 2008  chaired by Lord Carter of Coles to consider potential breaches of the principles of co-operation and competition for example by looking at proposed mergers to ensure that a monopoly situation did not arise and the way health services were promoted and advertised. However while competition could be a spur to efficiency, when services were duplicated or overlapped, might make service rationalisation more difficult.  High quality care could, in many cases, only be achieved by cooperation between providers.

National Leadership Council

When the NHS was established in 1948 Bevan established a Central Health Services Council to advise the Ministry of Health.  Consisting of the great and the good, it met seldom though its subcommittees were influential. Later other high level strategic advisory committees were established, none of which persisted long. Following the final report of Lord Darzi’s Next Stage Review a new National Leadership Council was formed in 2009 to develop leadership across healthcare with a particular focus on standards, certification and the development of the right curricula and assurance).

Research strategyProfessor Dame Sally Davies

Under the leadership of Professor Dame Sally Davies, the Department of Health's Director General of Research and Development and Chief Scientific Adviser and interim CMO after Liam Donaldson retired, continuing efforts were made to establish a consistent policy and framework to embed research within the NHS.  The National Institute for Health Research worked in partnership with strategic health authorities and trusts, and NICE.  Its goals were to establish the NHS as an internationally recognised centre for research excellence, attract, develop and retain the best research professionals to conduct people-based research, commission research focused on improving health and social care, strengthen and streamline systems for research management and governance, and act as sound custodians of public money for public good


Health Policies under the Liberal/Conservative government

Andrew Lansley

The 2010 election resulted in a Conservative/Liberal Democrat coalition whose agreement was soon published.  The appointment of Andrew Lansley as Secretary of State for Health, who had shadowed health for many years while in opposition, was welcomed by professional organisations and the NHS Confederation, all of whom stressed the need to "work together."  The Government, he said, was committed to increasing health spending every year and to cutting out waste so that patient care. Lansley was said to have arrived at the Department of Health with a draft White Paper in his pocket and a Health Bill was announced in the Queen's Speech shortly afterwards.    The Conservatives had fought to convince the public that the NHS was "safe" with them. Lansley said that government 'would not let the sick pay for Labour's debt crisis' and the health service budget would be ring-fenced and protected.  As a result, the cuts made to other budgets would be far more swinging, and the ring-fencing was widely criticised. 

NHS finances would still be tighter than they had been for a long time.  There would be change in commissioning and in structure at both SHA and PCT level. The operating framework, previously issued by Labour, was revised although many priorities remained the same.  Management costs had to be reduced.  One of Lansley's first actions was to call for reassessment of the Lord Darzi inspired London NHS restructuring . Published in 2007 and being implemented across the capital, it was criticised both by GPs and acute trusts. GPs objected to the central role it gave to new polyclinics. Acute trusts queried the reliability of estimates that it could enable huge reductions in acute activity as care was shifted out of hospitals.  The Chair of NHS London resigned in protest, his vision of the future of London's NHS differing from that of the Secretary of State.  The Secretary of State said that 'Local decision-making is essential to improve outcomes for patients and drive up quality.”  He outlined new criteria for decisions on service changes, support from GP commissioners, strengthened public and patient engagement, clarity on the clinical evidence base and consistency with current and prospective patient choice. Less stress would be based on targets some of which were soon modified, reducing the management effort required.  Some commitments required additional money, for example the implied reduction of the role of  NICE in controlling drug costs and a cancer drug fund of £200 million. 

Equity and Excellence, liberating the NHS (Cm 7881)

In July 2010 Andrew Lansley published his much trawled White Paper; Equity and Excellence, liberating the NHS.  There had been no warning in speeches, manifestos or even the coalition agreement that major structural change was to take place.  Rather the reverse.  The reactions were mixed as many disliked the idea of more turmoil which would slow progress, and some feared it presaged more "privatisation" of the health service. Opinion was unconventionally split, with ex Labour advisers supporting the proposals and right wing think tanks opposing them.  Consultation on some aspects of the proposals would be undertaken and the Paper was said to be green at the edges. There was no suggestion that key decisions would be modified.  Its keynotes were reduction in bureaucracy and modification of organisational structure removing two tiers, SHAs and PCTs. Chris Ham, Chief Executive of the King's Fund, wrote that the changes took forward reforms set out by Labour led by Tony Blair in 2002 and developed by Ara Darzi in 2008, but they were much more ambitious and risky. The structure of the NHS will be changed by the setting up of an independent commissioning board taking over many SHA functions, the abolition of strategic health authorities and primary care trusts, and a new role for local authorities in promoting public health. Its function will be altered by the use of markets instead of targets to drive improvements in performance. On the commissioner side, groups of general practices will take responsibility for most of the NHS budget, transferred from PCTs to 500-600 consortia of GPs. Consortia of GPs would be given freedom and responsibility for commissioning care for their local communities. Though there had been some experience of GP commissioning previously, no other country had placed such emphasis on GP purchasing. National and regional specialist services would be handled by the new national commissioning body. .On the provider side, NHS foundation trusts would have greater autonomy, and independent sector providers will be encouraged to compete for patients.  The operation of the market will be overseen by a new economic regulator. Its role will be to promote competition, regulate the prices paid to providers, and ensure continuity of service provision. There would be greater competition in the NHS and greater cooperation. 

Key proposals in the government’s white paper

  • All GPs to join a local commissioning consortium

  • GP consortia (5-600) to take full financial responsibility from April 2013

  • Patients given right to register with any general practice

  • Patients to be able to choose between consultant led teams for elective care by April 2011

  • All NHS trusts to become foundation trusts by 2013-14

  • NHS Commissioning Body to be established in April 2012

  • A new public health service to be led by local authorities

  • HealthWatch, a new independent consumer champion, to be established

  • Monitor to become an economic regulator

  • Strategic health authorities to be abolished in 2012-13

  • Primary care trusts to be abolished from April 2013

  • Reduction of NHS quangos by at least a third

  • Personal budgets to be expanded

  • NHS outcomes framework to be fully implemented by April 2012

  • NICE to produce 150 quality standards by July 2015

  • source British Medical Journal

Public health functions would move to Local Authorities who would employ a director of public health, who will have a ring fenced public health budget to allocate. Local authorities will also be given control over local health improvement budgets and the power to agree local strategies to bring together the NHS, public health, and social care.

Patients would get more choice and control, backed by a information services, so that services are more responsive to patients and designed around them,.  The principle will be "no decisions about me without me".  They would be able to choose which GP practice they register with, regardless of where they lived, and choose between consultant-led teams. 

More comprehensive and transparent information would help them make these choices together with healthcare professionals. The NHS would aim for outcome measures of quality rather than process measures or targets, GPs and hospitals having to publish detailed outcomes of their care, including medical errors. . Management costs will be reduced so that as much resource as possible supports frontline services.

Sir David Nicholson, the NHS Chief Executive, wrote to the NHS outlining the steps to be taken to ensure a smooth transition to the new arrangements.  The Government meant business.  Separate commissioning and provider functions would be established within the Department, and within the SHAs, to guide implementation. Liberating the NHS would require strong central guidance!  Further consultative documents soon appeared, on regulating health providers, commissioning and GP consortia, targets and health outcomes, and the role of local authorities.

Organisational Change

While in opposition the Conservatives had ruled out major organisational changes, precisely this would be the result of the White Paper Equity and Excellence, liberating the NHS  that appeared in July 2010.  The changes were  criticised by some as creating unnecessary turbulence, for their potential costs, and the delay that might be imposed on desirable change.

The Department of Health

The relationships between the Department of Health and the NHS had passed through a number of patterns over the years and from 2009 a collaborative board, bringing together the two, was established as a subgroup of the NHS Management Board.  Now under the White Paper there would be an independent and accountable NHS Commissioning Board to lead on health outcomes, allocate and account for NHS resources, lead on quality improvement and promoting patient involvement and choice. The Board would have an explicit duty to promote equality and tackle inequalities in access to healthcare. The powers of Ministers over day-to-day NHS decisions would be limited and public health responsibilities would move to local authorities.

There would be major changes to Monitor which would no longer have an exclusive relationship with foundation trusts, but be concerned with all providers.  Consultation began on the details of its future role.

organisational chart

source - White Paper Equity and Excellence, liberating the NHS

Liberating the NHS, Report of the Arms Length Bodies Review (DH, 2010) reviewed them though the existence of some was confirmed, for example Monitor and the Care Quality Commission, others were scheduled for run-down. The Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority and the Human Tissue Authority would have functions transferred and the Health Protection Agency established by the previous government and the National Treatment Agency would no longer be statutory bodies.  Their functions would be transferred to health secretary and the new public health service being established.  Within the Department of Health, the new Public Health Service would subsume "existing health improvement and protection bodies and their functions would be integrated and streamlined."  Annex B of the review provides a  chart of the changes in arms length bodies in the past decade, and into the future

Reviewreview

Primary care trusts

As a result of mergers, there had been151 PCTs in England in 2010, most of which shared broadly the same boundaries as local government authorities. They were overseen regionally by one of ten strategic health authorities. Collectively, PCTs were responsible for managing around 80 per cent of the NHS budget. PCT budgets ranged from £172 million to almost £1.8 billion.  PCTs covered an average population of 342,000 people, but population sizes ranged from just over 100,000 to almost 1.3 million.

Because their name gave the public little indication of their role, many PCTs rebranded themselves, for example City and Hackney PCT became "NHS City and Hackney". PCTs were now powerful in the improvement of services, and their reconfiguration.  Longstanding doubts about their abilities as commissioners led to the introduction of "World Class Commissioning", an initiative with targets attached by which the trusts were judged.  Commissioning would become the driver of change and in London the PCTs grouped themselves together into 6 segments to consider how to plan for better services along Darzi lines. Because as well as commissioning services they themselves provided many, particularly in the community, they were instructed to divest themselves of these.  Community services might be merged, or amalgamated with acute hospital trusts, or mental health trusts that already had major community based activities. Labour policy seemed to be to exclude the private sector and voluntary bodies from this role.

With the publication of the white paper, Equity and Excellence, liberating the NHS  the role of PCTs was set to be vastly reduced. Groups of GPs would be given freedom and responsibility for commissioning care for their local communities.  The government planned for 500-600 GP consortia, contracted directly by a new independent NHS board - removing the PCTs’ GP contracting and performance management role. Andrew Lansley said: “We’ve been down the route of PCTs. I remember that whole process of fundholding moving to locality groups, turning to primary care groups, turning to primary care trusts....The process it has become more bureaucratic, more centralised and frankly less effective."  PCT commissioning had allegedly failed - and the consortia could choose support, if they needed it, from a variety of sources.

 There would be greater competition in the NHS and greater cooperation.  Some public health functions would move to Local Authorities.  The NHS lose tiers.  Strategic Health Authorities and Primary Care Trusts would be phased out by 2013.  Management costs would be reduced so that as much resource as possible supports frontline services.

GP Consortia

These would have a geographic focus.  With a population base probably around 100,000, there would be perhaps 5-600. Budgets would be calculated on a practice-level but allocated directly to the consortia, and the new NHS commissioning board would have the final say in determining the membership and size of GP consortia.  Each would have an accounting officer responsible to the Board.  GP commissioners will have statutory duties and powers – established through primary and secondary legislation.  They will be responsible for “the great majority” of NHS services for their patients, although individual practices will not be able to commission themselves directly.

Foundation Trusts

By May 2010, five years after the concept was launched,  130 Foundation trusts had been established,  about half of all acute trusts (46%) and mental health trusts (54%) .  There were more in the pipeline. Monitor provided a diagram of the process and a map of their presence. William Moyes, then the executive chairman of the regulator, Monitor, felt that their performance had been impressive, though regretting that more trusts had not gained this status.  Moyes was increasingly frustrated that Labour's interest in FTs was flagging.  Trusts wanted Foundation status to be regarded as the quality brand in health. A small élite were now exploring the full limits of their potential, with a handful aspiring to be truly world class. One mental health trust that had good relationships with its matching local authority took on the community health services in its area, for example district nursing.  Foundation trusts, as a whole, performed significantly better than other trusts in league tables.  Government had said it wanted all trusts to achieve foundation status by 2010; they had not done so. some of these had stubborn problems, big debts, mediocre management and poor services.   Some twenty would not meet the criteria and achieve foundation status, let alone do so by the dates government had wanted.  Suggestions that trusts merged or were acquired by other (foundation) trusts or were franchised to the private sector or had management replaced found little favour.   Heart of England FT had difficulties in absorbing the Good Hope Hospital, and FTs were wary of the risks involved. What trust wished to jeopardise its reputation by taking on near insuperable financial problems?  FTs were more willing to take on community services from PCTs, creating "vertical integration" of services and were more willing to take responsibility for care before and after patients came through their door.

Increasing financial problems led tightening of the criteria for Trusts wishing foundation status. Trusts applying had to show that they could cope with a very low growth rate. At least in London it was clear that many existing trusts would not meet government deadlines for foundation status and in May 2009 the East of England SHA offered up the first trust for merger or acquisition, the Bedfordshire and Luton Mental Health and Social Care Partnership trust.  In March 2010 the Mid Staffordshire FT, after the Francis Report, applied to be stripped of its foundation trust status in part because of the time it would take to right matters.

At the time of the White Paper in July 2010 the coalition government continued the policy that all trusts should become – or become part of – a foundation trust by the end of 2013-14.  Andrew Lansley's vision of a decentralised NHS fitted well with the FT model. All trusts would pass to Monitor's control from April 2013, when strategic health authorities would be abolished.  Monitor would become an economic regulator of all health and social care providers from April 2012, a major expansion of its role, as licence-granter, tariff setter, promoter of competition and protector essential services if providers failed under a more competitive regime. (Times,3 September 2010, p25)

A unit in the Department of Health was created to drive progress. Where trusts and SHAs fail to come up with “credible plans” or trusts are unsustainable, the Department would use existing powers to break them up or force takeovers.  Alan Lansley, like Alan Milburn (Labour) before him, wanted to move FTs off the national balance sheet as a sign of their independence from government.

Finance

For figures on allocations since 1974 see a Parliamentary note (2009)

Expenditure growth chart (King's Fund data)

Each year the Department of Health outlined the resources for PCTs and national priorities in theOperating Framework. Allocations were based on a complex formula involving population, needs, targets and the distance from targets.  An Advisory Committee on Resource Allocation kept the formula under review and changes produced winners and losers. The introduction of a weighted capitation system might have significant results, perhaps favouring the elderly, as opposed to children or deprived areas. Labour - and the Conservatives also in their advance planning, looked at the tariff system for potential savings.  Tariffs were based on average national costs; should they be based instead on the lower costs of the most cost-effective centres to increase incentives for cost-cutting?  Primary care trusts were allowed to link payments to local quality improvement goals by commissioning for "quality and innovation"  A proportion of providers’ income would be conditional on quality and innovation, through the Commissioning for Quality and Innovation (CQUIN) payment framework.

A new financial crisis was now looming driven by rising costs and increased public explanations. It was the latest in a series that had affected the service since 1948. (See article by Nick Bosanquet in Health Service Journal).  In 2007 the projected rise in the NHS budget in real terms from 2008/9 to 2010/11 had been 1.9% a year.  As the 2008 financial crisis bit, and billions were poured into banks such as Northern Rock, HSBC and RBS, the Treasury looked at the possibility of clawing back much of the £1.6 billion under spend in 2007/08.  Projected growth in 2008 was to be 1.2% between 2011/12 and 2013/14.  The 2009 budget included large reductions in public service expenditure in which the NHS would play a major role. Though presented as savings from improved commissioning, it still amounted to less money going into the NHS. Public debt would overhang services for ten years or more.  The impact on the NHS was not long in coming.  In his Annual Report the NHS Chief Executive, David Nicholson, warned of the future ahead. “We need to move away from the NHS being built for growth to being able to sustain itself in a prolonged limitation on resources. We’ve had one or two years that were difficult. We’ve never had three or four years.”  In early 2009 four chief executives in the London area resigned within a week, including the Royal London and West Middlesex hospitals.  Financial problems and failure to meet access targets were responsible. Monitor saw the recession as slowing the progress of hospitals towards Foundation status.  It continued to ensure that foundations were capable of handling the pressures and some trusts withdrew their applications.  Soon it was being suggested that NHS allocations might fall by some £20bn over the next few years, and primary care trusts were encouraged to plan on the basis of such massive reductions. 

A report commissioned by the Department of Health from McKinsey was passed to the DH in March 2009,  leaked to Health Services Journal in September 2009 and ultimately published by the Conservative/LibDem government in June 2010  McKinsey  implied that to achieve its planned £20bn savings by 2014 the NHS in England would need to slash its workforce by 137,000.   This would mean the NHS losing 10 per cent of its workforce.  The report, considered by many to be a rational assessment of what would be needed to achieve planned savings, revealed the brutal reality of the true cost to the NHS of the collapse of the banking system.  It recommended a range of “potential actions in the next six months” including a recruitment freeze, an immediate reduction in medical school places to avoid oversupply and an early programme to encourage older GPs and community nurses to make way for “new blood/talent". Acute services would take the brunt of the cuts. Some savings could come from clinical efficiencies, but not enough. Though all political parties had said that NHS finances would be protected, the report clearly had the Department of Health's support and had been shared with SHAs and senior management as as an important contribution to policy.  When leaked, the Department did not question the accuracy of the leaked document, but attempted to disown the recommendations. Andy Burnham, the Secretary of State said “The McKinsey work… is not in any sense an NHS plan of action. They are just making some suggestions which will be looked at with many other ideas"  Some calculations of the scale of cutbacks - over 50% of London acute hospital work - seemed completely infeasible.  Individual hospitals with historic difficulties in balancing their books faced substantial problems.

Summary

McKinsey & Company

The next spending review may well result in significantly lower rates of growth in NHS spending than has been the case for the last 8 years, resulting in a possible funding gap of £10-15bn in 2013/14 or ~ 10% of spend.

The NHS in England could potentially capture efficiencies in health and healthcare services by between 15 and 22% of current spend, or £13–20bn, over the next 3-5 years.

This reduction could come from

– technical efficiency savings of £6.0 - 9.2bn found from provider costs

– allocative efficiency savings of £4.7 - 6.6bn due to no longer commissioning low value added healthcare interventions and ensuring compliance with commissioners’ standards

– savings of £2.7 - 4.1bn from a shift in the management of care away from hospitals towards more cost effective out-of-hospital alternatives.

Further savings could come from a greater focus on prevention resulting in lower demand for healthcare services but this would likely not be realised within the next 3-5 years.

Achieving a step change in spend on health and healthcare services will require a compelling case for change; the use of formal mechanisms to drive through efficiency gains; deployment of WCC structures and processes; removal of national barriers to change; introduction of incentives schemes; and an increase in skills and capabilities to drive out costs.

We recommend a nationally-enabled programme delivered through the SHAs and PCTs to drive through efficiency savings. The DH should take direct actions to capture some opportunities e.g. lowering tariffs. And should enable delivery by creating a compelling story, removing barriers, developing frameworks/tools and embedding the drive for efficiency gains within existing mechanisms e.g. WCC.

Achieving Foundation Trust status was impracticable and one trust, Hinchingbrooke, a district general hospital in Cambridgeshire, was offered by tender to private or NHS management. Applicants were short-listed to three and the public was consulted , but no NHS organisation was prepared to take on the task of restoring a hospital with a £40 million deficit to financial and clinical health, and the managerial effort that would be needed. 

Some believed that massive savings could be achieved by the transfer of care from hospital into the community, polyclinics or federated practices, again without much evidence.  The Department of Health made small sums available to support the Transforming Community Services (TCS) programme.  In hospital it seemed that savings could result if the lead consultant saw patients early after admission, and regularly thereafter.  Ministers did not accept a "slash and burn" approach but  the operating framework for 2010 required a 30% reduction in management costs in PCTs and SHAs, and acute trusts would be paid only 30% of tariff costs above the activity level of the previous years in the hope that this would constrain hospital care and encourage care in the community. Tariff costs would not be increased for inflation and perhaps adjusted to reflect costs incurred by efficient providers. .  Gloucestershire Hospitals Foundation Trust  needed to make savings of between £27m and £30m “because of the national economic position which is seeing reductions in public sector spending”.  As part of wide ranging measures it considered a phased plan to close 150-200 beds A health minister, Mr O’Brien told parliament in March 2010 that blaming the economic situation for the cuts was “nonsense”. A manager wrote that "Ministers say you must save £20 billion. Ministers then get upset when the NHS puts forward plans to save £20 billion because it involves shutting beds and reducing staff numbers. How else does one save substantial sums of money in a labour intensive industry? We could of course keep all the beds open and just cut staff -but only if they want a Mid Staffs to pop up every other week."  

The NHS had to plan for a health service in a cold climate. The King's Fund and the Institute for Fiscal Studies  produced an analysis of the outlook, How cold will it be? in July 2009. For 20 years Wennburg, in the USA, had suggested that reduction in the variations in service provision would save money - though there was little sign of major success in altering the differences even in his home states.  The Dartmouth Health Atlas identified conditions where the rate of surgery differed greatly. If there was a £20 billion shortfall, in a labour intensive service what was the answer?   The BMJ published a special issue on 20 March 2010 on savings that could be made without harming services. A pay-freeze for consultants, GPs and senior managers was imposed in 2010.

If the starting point was evidence that something worked safely and provided value for money for society and the individual, where did that leave complimentary medicine?  The UK's only professor of complementary medicine wrote that some within that field were ready to resort to intimidation and legal action in a way that was downright scary.  The financial stringency revived discussions on rationing, prioritisation or allocation of resources, effectively three synonyms. 

Ten Common Conditions with Widely Varying Use of Discretionary Surgery

• Early Stage Cancer of the Prostate

• Early Stage Cancer of the Breast

• Osteoarthritis of the Knee

• Osteoarthritis of the Hip

• Osteoarthritis of the Spine

• Chest Pain due to Coronary Artery Disease

• Stroke Threat from Carotid Artery Disease

• Ischemia due to Peripheral Artery Disease

• Gall Stones
• Enlarged Prostate (BPH)

An Agenda for Change : Improving Quality and Curbing Health Care Spending.  www.dartmouthatlas.org 2009 


The financial crisis began to bite.  An early victim was the proposed North Tees Hospital which was cancelled.

Quality

Mid-Staffordshire

Healthcare Commission & Commission for Quality of Care

Council for Healthcare Regulatory Excellence

National Institute for Clinical Excellence

Patient Participation

Quality was now high not only on clinicians' agenda, but on that of the NHS organisationally.  Lord Darzi said in High Care Quality for All, in 2008 that  "Quality will be the organizing principle of the NHS."   The final Darzi report in 2008 also placed emphasised quality as "at the heart of everything we do". Healthcare providers were required by law to publish ‘Quality Accounts’ just as they published financial accounts. Trusts began to assemble the material they would need for the year 2009/10. The need was clear; in 2009 the Patients' Association published a report Patients not numbers, People not statistics with poignant stories of poor ward care and failure of communication. The association's helpline received many calls from people wanting to talk about 'the dreadful, neglectful, demeaning, painful and sometimes downright cruel treatment their elderly relatives had experienced at the hands of NHS'.  Claire Rayner, the President of the Association, herself once a nurse, had campaigned on this issue for decades.

For over twenty years organisations had wrestled with the problem of "how to contract for quality".  The introduction of tariff payments was partly based on the view that if all providers charged the same, those "purchasing" services would do so on the basis of quality.  On the principle that if you cannot measure something, its existence is questionable, a new industry developed in "metrics" - what was quality, how did one recognise it and how was it measured?  Structure, process and outcome had long been recognised as facets of quality, now effectiveness, safety and patient experience were seen as groupings for assessment.

Over 60 organisations in the UK had some claim to inspection or regulation and continuous improvement of quality of health care was an international movement.  In 2008 a National Quality Board was established for the NHS and first met in March 2009. Very much a body of the great and the good, it brought together the Department of Health, the Care Quality Commission, Monitor, NICE and expert and lay members from Royal Colleges and consumer organisations.  It was the only place where the many regulators came together in one room. The board's most "tangible" work would be to publish an annual report on quality, specifically comparing the English health service with other countries. Its aim was to bring together senior people interested in improving quality, to align and agree the NHS quality goals, whilst respecting the independent status of participating organisations. At a more local level, the Department of Health’s first publication on quality for 2009-10 designated 24 hospital and four ambulance trusts as having their “performance under review”.  Thirty hospital trusts and four ambulance trusts were identified as not meeting minimum standards under the NHS performance regime.

The US remained in the lead in quality developments.  Its Joint Commission introduced patient reports on the safety of care and examined patient care pathways, alongside its 50 year old accreditation programme. Its annual report showed steady improvements.  (see also its fact sheets and video on line)  The expansion of clinical knowledge made it essential not only to work in teams, but to accept that medicine's complexity had overwhelmed the ability of individuals to manage it, however expert and specialised.  As a result, basic steps were missed and patients died.  In aviation, simple pre-flight check lists had saved many planes.  The introduction of a surgical check list in 8 hospitals world-wide showed a reduction of death rate from 1.5% before the checklist was introduced to 0.8% afterwards. 19 checks before anaesthesia, before skin incision and before the patient left theatre showed that gaps in teamwork and safety practices were substantial in countries both rich and poor.

Mid Staffordshire

Keiran Walshe, professor of health policy and management at the Manchester Business School said that in a health service that was increasingly plural and less hierarchical, there was a growing need for good, effective regulatory scrutiny and oversight.  Don Berwick used a more punchy phrase, "you need policemen even in heaven". 

That this could not currently be relied upon was demonstrated at Mid Staffordshire Foundation Trust. In its last days the Health Care Commission, in March 2009, published one of its most swingeing reports into substandard care at the trust which, having had a large financial deficit, had been given new management and had corrected this in part by staff reductions, including nursing.  The financial problems were solved but at the cost of a failure to address quality which had been longstanding. Mortality data from Dr Foster had suggested problems subsequently confirmed by HCC visits. That foundation status had been granted in 2008 when problems were already being investigated, made clear the lack of communication between Monitor, the SHA and the Healthcare Commission and there were  arguments about the accuracy of data. There and in a number of other trusts with similarly high mortalities coding problems were blamed.  The regulatory organisations blamed each other - no one emerged well from the affair. Theoretically, because of excess mortality at the hospitals, as many as 400 people might have died over a period of years when there had been "appalling" emergency care in understaffed departments inadequately skilled, with deficiencies in ward staffing, equipment and management.  Professor Sir George Alberti, national clinical director for urgent and emergency care, began a review of the trust's accident and emergency services and in July 2009 the Secretary of State (Andy Burnham) asked Robert Francis QC

Robert Francis' report, The Mid Staffordshire NHS Foundation Trust Inquiry, submitted in February 2010, said the board showed a lack of urgency, and relied on data systems rather than patient experience.  The Board tended to restrict itself to strategic issues and had too little contact with operational matters.  The overwhelming problems seemed to be the provision of basic nursing care.  "The experience of listening to so many accounts of bad care, denials of dignity and unnecessary suffering made an impact of an entirely different order to that made by reading written accounts."  Targets seemed to come before quality, and compassionate care was often lacking. There was a reluctance by staff at all levels to persist in raising concerns.

The report called for NHS board members to be regulated against a national set of standards, a review of training, appointment, and support and accountability for executive and non-executive directors, to “create and enforce uniform professional standards for such posts”.   The Secretary of State accepted all the recommendations and proposed further action, inviting Mr Francis to undertake a further independent examination of the role of the supervisory and regulatory bodies.

Three key recommendations accepted by the government were

In spite of all that was already known the new government in 2010 established a further and public enquiry.

Hospital standardised mortality ratios (HSMRs) and Dr Foster

Standardised hospital mortality ratios (HSMRs), published on the NHS Choices website, were only a blunt indicator of quality. A concept developed earlier in the USA, the indicators had critics but were welcomed by patient organisations. The UK HMSR was derived from Jarman's work and Dr Foster an independent organisation collecting data from hospitals on a voluntary basis, (see chapter 6).  A statistical calculation that measured the overall rate of deaths within a hospital or NHS trust, it compared them with a national average. However the HSMR focused on the medical conditions associated with 80% - not all - of deaths in hospitals.  It did not adjust for the many patients admitted specifically to provide care near the end of life. Different organisations could produce substantially different results.  HSMRs were increasingly criticised because of variations in coding practice and the extent to which multiple morbidities, which increased death rates, might or might not be coded.BMJ 2010;340:c2153  Unjust criticism of a hospital could destroy morale and create inappropriate criticisms.  Some findings were of great interest, for example Dr Foster showed that mortality rose slightly in the first week of August when new doctors took up their posts; a similar effect was seen in the USA in July when the same thing happened. As the national mortality rates fell, individual hospitals that had improved but less than their peers, found to their concern that their rates were higher.  If HSMRs had not been used to make heroes or villains, they were perhaps one of the best measures we had.

 

Mortality rates: a history

  • 1993 Sir Brian Jarman, at Imperial College, begins developing the ratios
  • 2001 Bristol Royal Infirmary inquiry recommends openness
  • 2001 Sir Brian starts publishing ratios with Dr Foster
  • 2006 Society for Cardiothoracic Surgery president Sir Bruce Keogh publishes survival rates for cardiac surgery units
  • 2007 Sir Bruce appointed NHS medical director. He moves to publish outcomes on NHS Choices
  • August 2008 Research for NHS West Midlands adds to criticism of value of HSMRs
  • March 2009 HSMRs credited with alerting to scandal at Mid Staffordshire FT
  • March 2009 First meeting of the DH’s quality board
  • November 2009 Hospital Guide again receives huge coverage. Its worst rated trust is Basildon and Thurrock University Hospitals FT
  • Source - Health Service Journal 18 February 2010

Dr Foster's annual hospital guide in 2009 had given hospitals a safety index, and while it was to be expected that hospitals low on the list would challenge the methodology, some critics were eminent independent statisticians and public health physicians. Media comment, including The Times, made Dr Foster's data a matter of public interest.  The DH and regulators were engulfed in the row because many of the ratings contradicted trusts’ performance according to the Care Quality Commission and Foundation Trust regulator Monitor. Some hospitals  had not taken the process seriously and others had found the questions misleading and sometimes irrelevant to issues of patient outcome.  Sometimes a low rate was associated with clear clinical shortcomings.  Sometimes it was not.  There were now an increasing number of hospitals that scored low on the ratios, and an increasing number of organisations competitively in the quality assessment field.  After a tendering process in 2010 during which 8 organisations submitted bids, the contract to provide HSMRs passed to IMS, "a premier source of global pharmaceutical marketing intelligence" to the irritation of Professor Jarman and Dr Forster.  The NHS medical director Sir Bruce Keogh asked NHS North East chief executive Ian Dalton to lead a group to agree a method for calculating hospital standardised   The specifications of the indicators would be standard, open and published by the NHS Information Centre, "owned by the NHS" - to ensure parity of use and interpretation by all users  including the public.

Healthcare Commission and Commission for Quality of Care (CQC)

The Healthcare Commission

In October 2008 the Commission published its third and last health check assessment. Annual improvement was evident. In particular, there was roughly a 10 percentage point increase in both the proportion of trusts scoring excellent for quality of services, and the proportion of trusts scoring excellent for use of resources.

. healthcheck process

Waiting times for cancer treatment, a significant problem for the NHS, had come down.  Ambulances were responding faster.  MRSA rates were falling, though not all trusts were improving as they should.  Problems remained in primary care, such as access to GPs and the provision of choice.  Regionally, performance in most areas had improved, less so in London.  Sir Ian, in a letter to staff, regretted that relationships between the Commission and the Department of Health had been fraught. 

"Given the highly politicised nature of any discussion of the NHS, government both saw the need for the regulator and at the same time felt uncomfortable about it, particularly when it brought bad news." Sir Ian said.  "Regulation was sometimes seen as part of the problem rather than part of the solution".  At the end of its existence (2004-2009) the Commission produced a legacy report.  It believed that it had played an important part in the improvement of quality of care, a view shared by the majority of trusts that thought that the annual health checks had improved quality.  Investigations into serious failings had improved safety.  The handover from the Healthcare Commission to the Care Quality Commission was far from smooth.

The Care Quality Commission (CQC)

Following the decision by the Department to merge the  Healthcare Commission, the Commission for Social Care Inspection and the Mental Health Act Commission into the Care Quality Commission, this was established in April 2009.  Baroness (Barbara) Young was appointed Chair but resigned within a year. The CQC differed in that it had enforcement powers and in the ultimate it could close an organisation by withdrawing its registration which the Healthcare Commission could not do directly.  The CQC "would be rooted  in 'transparency, independence and risk-based inspection". Outcomes would be a major focus and the CQC would judge its own success against them. The existing system would be replaced over the next two years by a regulatory system based upon  "periodic reviews" of commissioners and providers. As it united health and social services, assessment of local authorities and primary care trusts would be aligned.  Six groups of issues would be assessed

The CQC wished people to be at the centre of what they did and to look at boundary issues and problems, how health and social care worked together, and at care pathways for people might not know which “box” they were in but just wished the system to work for them smoothly.

It was sponsored by, paid for by and accountable to the Department of Health, though some money came from those regulated.  Regulation must increase quality and while the CQC had tough powers it wanted to work with people, rather than rely on punishment.  The financial fines it could levy were comparatively small and were more there to attract attention and achieve publicity and embarrassment, than as punishment in financial terms. It was hoped to provide a wide range of information for patients and commissioners; to spread good practice; and to use insights to improve public policy While the Commission would want to make its statements on the basis of good evidence and thoughtful analysis, criticising the health service inevitably meant criticising government.  The Commission wanted to encourage good practice, not merely discourage bad practice.  Better mechanisms were needed to predict when a system was getting into trouble, including low staffing, high staff turnover – and perhaps periods in which mergers were taking place or there was organisational change had the potential for problems and needed examination. The CQC wanted to work more openly than previous bodies, reassuring the public by assessments made from outwith the system. There were dozens of bodies and organisations also involved in quality, and the CQC wished to work with them, and not create duplication.  A new body, the National Quality Board, had been created in the hope that some alignment of all these organisations could be achieved.

The CQC used information from a variety of sources (declarations, audit, views of patients and staff and its own inspection programmes) to provide rolling quality and risk profiling to identify which providers it needed attention and hopefully  to involve service users in the course of inspection.

The 2009 hospital assessments, based on the Healthcare Commission system, showed a number of trusts' performance to be poor. Dr Foster ratios also pointed to problems.  A spot check at Basildon and Thurrock showed major problems of hygiene and higher than expected death rates.  There were also concerns about the nearby Colchester Foundation Trust whose chairman was summarily removed by Monitor. Anxiety was great enough to lead the Department to ask the CQC to check all trusts for problems and the CQC chair, Barbara Young, retired unexpectedly.  She was not prepared to give reasons.  She seemed to have lost confidence in the government’s health check approach to assessing hospital performance and perhaps wanted a greater ability to influence matters.  The complexity, overlapping contributions and arguments both academic and political about how inspection, regulation and assessment should work, made the whole issue too hot to handle effectively.

It hit the ground running. While CQC temporarily registered all 338 trusts, it made registration of 21 subject to conditions for inadequate infection control, legally enforceable and to be met within agreed timescales or enforcement action would follow. In its first assessments in October 2009 the CQC raised concerns about the 20 trusts rated “weak” on Quality and a further 27 that had not been higher than “fair” for Quality and Financial Management in the last four years and which faced a tough challenge to meet requirements of the new registration system which CQC would introduce in a year's time.  It was "clear that many have significant work to do to and a short time in which to do it. They should be in no doubt that we will take firm action if we deem it necessary". In January 2010, all trusts in England, would be legally bound to be registered with the Commission. From 2011 this requirement would include NHS primary care providers, including GPs and dentists, who had not previously been subject to regulation by the Healthcare Commission. The sheer number of providers of health and social care made this a massive undertaking (King's Fund Brief on regulation)  As full registrations were issued, Mid Staffordshire NHS Foundation Trust and Milton Keynes Hospital NHS Foundation Trust were told their registration with the Commission was conditional on them improving the safety and quality of their care and maternity services, and a further ten trusts were given only conditional registration shortly after. 

The White Paper, Equity and Excellence, removed the role of inspecting 'commissioners' to become a quality inspectorate, focussing solely on the saafety and quality of providers.  Working with monitor, it would operate a joint licensing regime.  It would host the central component of HealthWatch - an "independent consumer champion."  The Health Secretary also decided that the annual health check and grading should cease, wanting to move from process measurements to outcomes..

Council for Healthcare Regulatory Excellence

The Council for Healthcare Regulatory Excellence (CHRE) is the overarching, independent body overseeing the regulatory work of nine regulatory bodies

In 2009 the General Medial Council introduced the license to practice, required for all practicing UK doctors in addition to their registration. Licensing was the first step towards the introduction of  revalidation to give patients assurance that doctors were up to date and fit to practise. Revalidation was likely to include appraisals, assessments and specialty standards.

The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE)

In 2009 NICE reached  ten years of age. Controversial from the outset, survival alone was something to celebrate.  It remained under challenge.  The threshold for deciding which drugs were cost-effective enough to use was arbitrary, was it too low or too high.  NICE did not stop the use of less cost-effective interventions already in use.  How should drugs be handled when companies chose to submit no evidence?  In the absence of an inquiry by NICE they continued to be used.  Its unpopularity with the drugs industry was contrasted with its popularity with governments around the world.

Decisions might be revised as in the approval of ranibizumab (Lucentis) for age-related wet macular degeneration.  Sometimes patients wishing to receive life aiding drugs found that they were denied them by NICE guidance.  When with the support of their doctors they tried to purchase them they were sometimes denied NHS treatment as government did not wish to see a difference between those who could pay, and those who could not.  Public outcry at the refusal to let people spend their own money on their health led to the commissioning of a review.  In 2008 draft guidance by NICE that four drugs, which could prolong life but not cure, should be denied on cost effectiveness grounds rarer cancers was criticised by oncologists who felt that any restriction of prescribing on the grounds of cost was reprehensible and the Conservative opposition agreed.  Other commentators believed that there had to be some limit to the costs the NHS was expected to pick up.  The Chair of NICE, Sir Michael Rawlins, wrote "It really is time that some of my clinical colleagues woke up to the realities confronting all healthcare systems. An ageing society, technological advances and public expectations are placing demands that all countries are struggling to meet. Countries do not have infinite sums of money to spend on health and the amount they can afford is largely governed by their wealth as reflected by their gross domestic products. The debate is not about whether - but how - healthcare budgets can be most fairly shared out among a country's citizenry."(HSJ 18 August 2008)  He thought that the prices charged by drug companies were excessive - so others - in support of the pharmaceutical industry - replied with some justification that only an industry with the profit incentive would produce new drugs, quoting the steadily appearance of drugs for AIDS.

NICE was caught, inevitably, in a media storm.  Firm implementation of national guidelines might ensure a consistent deal for patients across England, if not in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.  But the consistency might be refusal for, as NICE had to take account of all who depend on the NHS (not just patients suitable for treatment by the drugs it considered). 

One issue was the time it took before NICE published its assessments.  The Labour government proposed a faster system for referring drugs and healthcare technologies to NICE, a new NICE committee to increase its capacity to assess new drugs, more "horizon scanning" to help identify new drugs and issues early; and guidance for PCTs on how to deal with requests for drugs not yet assessed by NICE. In 2010 the new Conservative/LibDem coalition proposed a special £200 million fund to pay for significant but expensive cancer drugs.  Andrew Lansley said ."It is unacceptable that we should be one of the leading countries in western Europe for cancer research ... yet sometimes it’s our patients .. who find that they don’t have access to the latest new cancer medicines.”.

Evidence based quality standards programme

In 2009 NICE was commissioned by the Department of Health to manage the process of developing independent quality standards, a consistent set of measures which might be used in commissioning and inspection.  Topics were selected by the National Quality Board that had been created in 2009, which submitted its final report in July 2010, and NICE worked with other organisations and to test the quality standards. The first of 150 standards dealt with the quality of care in stroke, venous embolism and dementia.  For example it said that patients who had had a stroke should be offered at least 45 minutes of active therapy five days a week.

NICE expanded into a new field, nutrition.   It recommended that to reduce deaths from cardiovascular disease, sugar, salt and trans fats should be phased out of food in 2010.

Patient Participation

LINks

A new system to encourage patient participation, LINks, was introduced in 2008.  Each local LINk related to a matching local authority that provided social services, the LINk covering both health and social services.   It was a network of local individuals, groups and organisations covering all aspects of publicly-funded health and social care .Built on existing networks & community activity it was independently funded and supported by a ‘Host’ organisation (appointed by the local authority.  LINks had the right to be consulted about services and, in many instances, to enter premises and inspect services.  Where they had concerns, they could ask organisations to respond to their anxieties.  The establishment of these new organisations was halting  LINks varied widely in their attitudes, some believing in cooperative working with local trusts, others being intrusive run by people with long standing grievances, special interests, or political views, often critical of the NHS in general and their local services in particular. 

The White Paper Equity and Excellence, liberating the NHS proposed that within the Care Quality Commission there would be a new independent consumer champion, HealthWatch England, to which LINKs would relate as local branches.  Local groups would be funded by and accountable to local authorities. They might be commissioned to provide advocacy and support, and help individuals who wanted to make a complaint. They would support people who lacked the means or capacity to make choices, for example of a general practitioner.

Medical Progress

The drug treatment of diseaseGastroenterology
Public Health, Immunisation and Infectious diseaseSurgery
Radiology and diagnostic imaging Orthopaedics and Trauma
Alternative medicine Organ transplantation
CancerOphthalmology
Cardiovascular disease and cardiac surgeryEmergency medicine
Neurology & neurosurgeryObstetrics and Gynaecology
PaediatricsMental illness
Geriatrics 
Medical genetics

A new chapter was opening for medicine, cancer probably being in the lead although other specialties were following.  Drug therapy was converting fatal diseases into chronic ones, to be controlled if not cured.  Though many drugs had emerged before the molecular basis of their activity was understood, unless that was known they might be used inappropriately - for example only a quarter of patients with breast cancer benefitted from Herceptin.  Drugs that hit a particular DNA segment might, in fact, be usable in several diseases. If the money spent on drugs was to be made to count, better diagnostic systems were needed (although there were few financial incentives for their development.)  Biological markers of effectiveness were required, molecular level signatures of response, so that treatment could be personalised and money was not wasted on people who were not benefiting. If non-responders could be identified, some of the rising costs could be avoided.

Diagnostic technology was forever improving.  The miniaturisation of electronics, seen for example in the ever more sophisticated mobile phones, began to find clinical applications.  Newly developed, a Band-Aid patch could transmit ECGs, oxygen saturation and pulse to monitors without complex equipment.

The framework for the provision of clinical services was increasingly set on a national basis by clinical strategies proposed by the National Clinical Directors, discussed locally within the framework of service commissioning, and associated with re-configuration of local hospital services.  Quality became the touchstone as services such as those for trauma and stroke were planned on a regional or sector basis.

Public Health

The goal of the WHO declaration in 1978 on Healthcare for All, with its accent on primary health care, was not achieved.  In 2008 a new report appeared from the same city, Alma Ata now known as Almaty, Now more than everThe evidence was robust that better outcomes for the population at lower cost were achieved in systems that distributed resources according to health care needs, eliminated co-payments, assumed responsibility for funding and provided a broad range of services within primary care.   The goals of 1978 had not been achieved, but now at least more was known about how to handle the challenges. The election of President Obama in 2010 led to a review of the US contribution to global health aid, with a new accent on outcomes, particularly as far as maternal and child mortality was concerned.

Health Inequalities

Though a concern for many years, Alan Johnson, the then Secretary of State, made the narrowing of 'health inequalities' one of his main priorities for the NHS.  A report in July 2008 on Health Inequalities, progress and the next steps, outlined the action being taken within the NHS.  Primary Care Trusts and Health Trusts were told to pay more attention to the problem.  Local initiatives were started to improve access of minority groups, e.g. Roma populations, pregnant women in areas of deprivation.  National targets (By 2010 to reduce inequalities in health outcomes by 10 per cent as measured by infant mortality and life expectancy at birth), the use of the commissioning process and new strategies abounded. However in February 2009 the Parliamentary Health Committee reported that while health in the UK was improving, over the last ten years health inequalities between the social classes had widened - the gap has increased by 4% amongst men, and by 11% amongst women.

The Marmot Report

A review of health inequalities was announced in November 2008 by the Prime Minister at an international health inequalities conference and commissioned from Professor Sir Michael Marmot to help government's health inequalities strategies and set objectives for future action in England.  Examining existing work (including that from groups chaired by Sir Michael and WHO information) e.g. Tackling Health Inequalities: 10 Years On (DH, 2009), Fair Society, Healthy Lives was published in February 2010 and was an analysis of health inequalities in England. The review advocated the improvement of health and well being for all  and the reduction of health inequalities.  It wanted a focus on the early years of life, (early child development programmes, safe neighbourhoods, decent housing) social justice, health and sustainability to be at the centre of public policy for all major aspects of society were key determinants of health, not just the health services.  Few could disagree with this. The Guardian said 'The Marmot report has made it clear – for better social wellbeing we must slash disparities in education, income and health.'  Nevertheless life expectancy in England was at record levels and the disparity across social groups was narrowing.  (executive summary)

Six policy recommendations to reduce health inequalities

  • Give every child the best start in life: increase the proportion of overall expenditure allocated to the early years and ensure it is focused progressively across the gradient
  • Enable all children, young people, and adults to maximise their capabilities and have control over their lives: reduce the social gradient in skills and qualifications
  • Create fair employment and good work for all: improve quality of jobs across the social gradient
  • Ensure a healthy standard of living for all: reduce the social gradient through progressive taxation and other fiscal policies
  • Create and develop healthy and sustainable places and communities
  • Strengthen the role and effect of the prevention of ill health: prioritise investment across government to reduce the social gradient

Source : BMJ 2010;340:c684  13 February 2010

The geographical pattern of mortality in Great Britain over the past 25 years was mapped to show how likely was death depending on location. The Grim Reaper’s Road Map: An Atlas of Mortality in Britain showed how people’s deaths are affected by where they live, how much money they have, the type of work they do and their lifestyle. They showed a person’s chances of dying from a particular cause in a particular place, compared to the national average chance for that cause of death, having standardised the distributions of population by age and sex in each area. The maps showed deaths from a range of causes, including heart attack, cancer, murder, electrocution and death during surgery.  The average age of death since 1981 is 74.4 years; 71.2 for men and 77.4 for women, while in the best neighbourhoods, including Eastbourne (on the south coast of England), 42 percent of those who died were over 80 years old, in others, including Glasgow Easterhouse, 25 percent were under 60 years of age. Across much of the south of England outside London, and in a few isolated enclaves of prosperity in the north, Wales and Scotland, people’s chances of dying each year have been up to 30 percent lower than the average since 1981.  What causes most of the variations were not genetic factors, said the authors, but environmental issues and whether we smoke, drink and exercise.  Death rates are higher where people were poorer. Internal migration was another key factor, making different parts of Britain increasingly home to either the poor or the rich.  The maps were based upon 14 million death records which showed the standardised mortality ratios of every town and city in Britain from 1981 to 2004. Policy Press) 

In its drive for quality, the Department of Health had set targets for the reduction of deaths in the major groups such as cancer, circulatory diseases, suicide and undetermined injury, and accidents.  Throughout the developed world death rates were falling, and in most cases they were doing so in England.

Health promotion and health screening

A "Mediterranean diet" had consistently been shown to be associated with longevity.  The dominant components seemed to be moderate consumption of alcohol, low meat consumption, and a high consumption of vegetables, fruit, nuts olive oil and legumes. Faced with the 'epidemic of obesity' and pressing to reduce health inequalities, the use of financial incentives to achieve healthy behaviour was high on the agenda.  Disincentives in the form of alcohol and tobacco tax were known to affect behaviour.  The effect of positive incentives was less clear cut.  In 2009 government launched Change4Life, a 'society-wide movement' aiming to prevent people from becoming overweight by encouraging them  to make changes to their diet and levels of activity.  Other campaigns related to lowering alcohol consumption, and the use of sun beds by those under 18 in the light of the rising number of cases of skin cancer.

Alcohol related harm to health

Alcohol misuse posed a huge clinical and public health problem throughout Europe.  Those who had campaigned against smoking had a new target.  In the UK alcohol consumption had risen at the same time as its costs, in real terms, had steadily fallen.  In 2009 England's CMO, Liam Donaldson, had called for a minimum price for alcohol. The BMA, the Royal College of Physicians, and the Faculty of Public Health added their voices to the demand, believing that the serious effects on health and society could best be mitigated through legislation on price and marketing. In 2010 NICE also argued for a minimum price per unit of alcohol to reduce consumption.

The Drug treatment of disease

People were increasingly given greater access to medicines, sometimes by increasing the range of trained professionals allowed to prescribe (nurses, pharmacists), by allowing people who met specific criteria to obtain certain medicines automatically, or by making prescription drugs available over he counter if considered safe. Some 60 had recently been reclassified from prescription only to pharmacy only, for example simvastatin, (statin), griseofulvin (antifungal) and hydrocortisone and nystatin ointment.  Professionals were particularly concerned when antibiotics were proposed for reclassification because of fears of growing antibiotic resistance.

The drug treatment of obesity had not lived up to its promise - two of the three drugs released earlier were withdrawn on safety grounds.  Perhaps we should just learn to live with obesity and its hazards.

The right to write prescriptions - once the doctor's prerogative, had been extended over ten years, particularly to nurses.  Out of 690,000 nurses in 2009, 40,000 could prescribe, the majority in general practice.   The process had gone smoothly, nurses being cautions, many having "supplementary" rights (prescribing within a care management plan agreed in advance with a doctor.  "Independent" prescribers could prescribe any medicine for any condition that fell within their area of competence.  Where nurses were leading, other professions were following, for example pharmacists. 

Top-up drugs

Some new drugs were costly and extended the life of those with an incurable disease, but did not affect the outcome.  NICE, applying the criteria of cost effectiveness, might not approve them for NHS use.  Patients faced with death which might be delayed by therapy not available within the NHS sometimes bought them  personally, perhaps at the cost of thousands of pounds.  However this might debar them from receiving normal NHS care at the same time.  Protests in the Sunday Times led the Secretary of State to commission an enquiry. In November 2008 Professor Mike Richards recommended that the Government,  NICE  and  the  pharmaceutical industry should act to ensure that more drugs were available for NHS patients on the NHS, but that those few that still wished to buy additional private care should  not  lose  their entitlement  to  NHS  care  as  long  as  the private element could be delivered separately from NHS care. The speed with which such drugs were referred for assessment by NICE should also be increased. Government accepted these recommendations.

Radiology and diagnostic imaging

The technology available to radiologists had changed dramatically with internet, affordable high performance computers, digital imaging and picture archiving and communication systems (PACTS).(BMJ 2008: 337: a785)  As a result, imaging and interpretation were no longer confined to one site.  Remote assessment, already frequent in the USA, became more prevalent in the UK. Complex imaging procedures were frequently required in accident departments around the clock.  Out-sourcing of interpretation was one way of dealing with increased demand coupled with a shortage of radiologists.  Some English hospitals outsourced part of their work into Europe, as far away as Barcelona.  Teleradiology and outsourcing had, however, their problems.  Access to other test results or previous images was seldom possible, nor the easy communication with other specialties.

The steady improvement of imaging and nuclear medicine equipment provided better images and increasingly smaller radiation doses.  The combination of CAT and positron emission (PET) scanning improved the diagnosis of heart disease and cancer.  As the quality of imaging improved, unexpected findings were increasingly encountered, often of clinical relevance and unrelated to the purpose of the imaging. MRIs were usually requested to solve a specific clinical problem, but other small lesions, such as meningiomas, might be found.  A new imaging system, laser based optical tomography, provided a new way of looking at the skin to a depth of 1mm.

Alternative Medicine

"Organised scepticism", the requirement that scientific claims be exposed to critical scrutiny before they are accepted, had never appealed greatly to proponents of alternative medicine.  Some of them believed that scientific principles just could not be applied to forms of therapy that were intensely individual, though others were keen to accept the trappings of tradition, the white coat and the appellation "doctor". Promotional materials were quick to reference studies that, when examined, proved either to be poor in quality or  to be selectively or inaccurately quoted. Occasionally people whose scientific claims were questioned turned to the law to attempt to silence critics, rather than engaging in scientific debate. Sometimes they succeeded, but not always.  The editor of the New Zealand Medical Journal , when chiropractors threatened to sue over an article asked them to 'provide evidence, not your legal muscle.'  A US judge dismissed a device manufacturer's law suit by saying that the dispute should take place in the pages of the journal, not in a Court.

Government, however, went to consultation in 2009 on proposals for statutory regulation of Acupuncture, Herbal Medicine, Traditional Chinese Medicine and Other Traditional Medicine Systems. In 2010 the House of Commons Science and Technology Committee reported that as there was so little evidence for homeopathic treatment, the Government should stop allowing the funding of homeopathy on the NHS, and the funding of homeopathic hospitals - hospitals that specialise in the administration of placebos- should not continue.

Infectious disease and Immunisation

Antibiotic resistance

The imposition nationally of systematic cleaning of hospitals and wards was associated with a reduction in the number of cases of MRSA and C difficile.  However from 2008 onwards a new threat emerged, New Delhi metallo-lactamase 1 or NDM1.  This was an enzyme that could live in different bacteria, which were then resistant to most antibiotics.  Fifty cases in the UK were reported (and many more in India and Pakistan) in The Lancet, including E. Coli and Klebsiella, pneumoniae, with some deaths. NDM-1 was becoming more common in Bangladesh, India and Pakistan and was starting to be imported back to Britain in patients returning from these countries. The main antibiotics for the treatment of gram-negative infections, β-lactams, fluoroquinolones and aminoglycosides - were no longer useful in these cases.

Microbiologists had new tools at their disposal for molecular assessment now made it possible to assess more accurately which strains were responsible for outbreaks

Malaria

Even though malaria is not endemic in the UK, in 2009 there were 1,495 cases in those returning to or arriving in the UK, mostly in people who had travelled to or from African countries but a substantial number in people who had travelled to or from Asia, Far East, and South East Asia.

Swine Flu

The risk of pandemic influenza had led to warnings of disaster for years, though neither severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) nor the small outbreaks of 'bird flu' in the Far East had affected Europe significantly. The threat of an epidemic had been the subject of detailed planning with concern that the NHS should keep the service running at a time of mass illness.  In 2009 an outbreak of Swine flu (H1N1) with many deaths in Mexico created world wide anxiety. Early on CDC Atlanta said it was probably impossible to contain it and its advice was designed to slow spread, not to contain it. "Communities, businesses, places of worship, schools and individuals can all take action to slow the spread of this outbreak."  Some countries reacted incoherently, for example slaughtering pigs en masse. Within weeks dozens of countries had cases, but they were most mild in nature. Indeed the normal victims of flu,. the over 65s, were less likely to contract the disease because of pre-existing immunity.  The US Federal Government and manufacturers rapidly began to develop a vaccine against the novel H1N1 flu virus.  In England antivirals such as Tamiflu were initially used prophylactically for contacts but this strategy of containment failed and the number of cases slowly increased, mostly in the young.  Deaths occurred particularly in those with lowered resistance because of other diseases.  Pregnant women and young children seemed particularly at risk but while the number of cases was much the same as those in a "normal" year, deaths did occur.  In July 2009 the Chief Medical Officer, Liam Donaldson, spoke of a worst case scenario of 65,000 deaths. Fuelled by government and the media, public anxiety and the pressures on primary care grew.  In July 2009 100,000 cases were recorded in a week.  A National Pandemic Flu Service was launched (GPs were taken out of the equation) and a phone line and web site were established - less than one in twenty callers actually had the disease.  Having bought a million doses, the service made antiviral drugs available directly to the public if they gave a history suggestive of infection . Comparatively few picked up the drugs for which they had asked. A revised assessment by the Cochrane collaboration threw doubt on the ability of oseltamivir to reduce complications in otherwise healthy adults.  90 million doses of the newly developed vaccine were ordered and in October 2009 vaccination began. The take-up was understandably low. Serious illness other than influenza might be misdiagnosed and some undoubtedly suffered  because diagnosis of their real illness was delayed

While the Secretary of State, Andy Burnham, maintained that England had come through the epidemic because of the strength of plans, this was clearly not so.  Nobody seemed to have considered the possibility of a pandemic so mild that it would cost fewer lives than normal seasonal flu. In January 2010 the weekly case rate was below 5,000.  Only a third of the vaccine purchased was used, and attempts were made to dispose of the surplus.  Post-mortems began; had public health doctors over-reacted?  Had the pharmaceutical industry created a panic to increase the sales of their vaccines?  Had money been wasted? Would anyone believe predictions again?  It was hard to say any one decision was wrong, but once the concern was there, one step followed another with grim inevitability. (Hawkes N, BMJ 2010;340c:789)  The Social, Health and Family Affairs Committee of the Council of Europe, reporting in June 2010, criticised WHO, national governments and the EU agencies for the handling of the epidemic, "a pandemic that never was" and a waste of large sums of public money.  There had  been lack of transparency about how decisions had been taken and possible conflicts of interest.  One commentator said that "money spent in stockpiling antivirals with hypothetical effectiveness against a hypothetical pandemic is not available for health care, or for education or for any other important human need."  The swine flu pandemic cost Britain more than £1.2bn despite being much less severe than feared, a government-commissioned review found. The actual death toll during the outbreak was 457, but the worst-case scenario predicted 65,000 people in the UK could die. The report by a public health colleague of the CMO believed that the response had been "proportionate and effective" though not all agreed.

BSE

The number of new cases of variant CJD continued to decline.  Only one new case was reported in 2008 and one additional death.

E. Coli 0157

A significant outbreak of Escherichia coli 0157 in September 2009 originated in a Surrey farm open to the public, where animals could be fed and petted.  Ninety three people were involved, 76 children under ten.  Some became and remained seriously ill, requiring renal dialysis. An enquiry concluded that laboratory closure over a bank holiday weekend, incorrect advice and delay in restricting access to the farm - fundamental failings in the handling of the outbreak - increased the number of cases.  Found on almost 40% of cattle farms, risks might be minimised but could not be eliminated.

MRSA

Methicillin resistant staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) first appeared in 1961 (methicillin was developed in 1951) but it was several decades before it became a problem.  In the 1992 the number of strains that were resistant in hospital practice reached some 50%  Now similar strains became more common in the community, in young fit people, sometimes with sports and soft tissue injury.  Clinicians outside hospitals now had to be aware of this increasing hazard.

AIDS

By the beginning of the decade there were more than 25 antiviral drugs from 6 therapeutic classes available for the treatment of AIDS.  In developed countries multiple drug regimes were normal and most people who took medication achieved durable viral suppression. A new issue emerged, an increased incidence of disease in long term survivors.  Classic AIDS related conditions were becoming less common but compared with a normal population "non-AIDS related" conditions were more prevalent.  Heart disease, cancer and liver disease and conditions related to aging, were among these.  These complications appeared most likely when treatment did not restore cell counts to the normal range. The care of patients with AIDS was becoming more complex.

In the 1970s many haemophiliacs had been infected by HIV as a result of substandard blood products. Lord Archer had reported on this in 2008 (Chapter 4) and in May 2009 the government response increased financial compensation and expressed regret.  While a press release was issued, unusually the response was placed in the House of Commons library and not published on Internet.

Immunisation

As a result of lower levels of immunisation against measles, the numbers of cases continued to rise exceeding 1000 in 2008.  Targeted immunisation programmes were introduced to deal with local outbreaks.  Immunisation against human papillomavirus (HPV), a virus that causes cervical cancer, was offered  to 12-13 year old girls from September 2008, and before long 70 per cent of 12-13 year olds had had their first of three vaccinations, a high rate of uptake.  It was decided to more rapidly to cover 13-17 year old girls.

In the UK immunisation against influenza was recommended annually for the elderly and those at special risk.  In the US it was now recommended from 6 months to 18 years.

Medical genetics

Medical genetics was beginning to come of age.  For twenty years there had been increasing knowledge of the genetic causation of some diseases, opening the path for the development of treatment.  Now, instead of just being interesting, genetics was leading to therapies that altered the patient's genetic structure, as in eye disease.  Human embryonic stem cells could now be developed to the point of differentiation into different tissues in sufficient quantities for use in animal trials.

Women with a BRCA1 mutation have an 80% chance of developing breast cancer and a 60% chance of developing ovarian cancer during their lifetime.  In 2009 the first baby was born in the UK as a result of pre-implantation genetic diagnosis and in vitro fertilisation, as a result of which not only would she be likely to avoid these diseases, but she would not pass the increased risk on to her own children.

Gastroenterology

Flexible endoscopes and colonoscopes had made it possible to examine perhaps half of the gastro-intestinal tract, but the procedure was uncomfortable and usually required sedation.  A new form of investigation became possible with the development of a PillCam that could be swallowed.  It combined a camera that could take 5-30 photos a second, with LED lighting, batteries and a radio transmitter.  Over ten years organ-specific PillCams were developed for the oesophagus (which could look forwards and backwards), the small bowel, and the colon.  The device was particularly useful in diagnosing bleeding of obscure origin, and cancer of the colon in people who refused conventional colonoscopy.

Surgery

Changing demand for surgical procedures brought forth new subspecialties.  Bariatric surgery, the reduction of the capacity of the stomach in an attempt to treat obesity that was life threatening and had not responded to simpler dietetic measures increased rapidly year on year, so that by 2008 some 10.000 such operations were being carried out annually, mainly in the NHS but also in the private sector.  People were increasingly aware of the possibility, might even eat to gain a weight that would qualify for health service care, and doctors might think it would prevent years of diabetes, cardiovascular conditions or other ill health.

Fast track and minimal access surgery

Two new minimal access techniques were under development.  Natural orifice endoscopy used a natural cavity such as the rectum or vagina as an access point, avoiding the need for an external scar.  Single port laparoscopy involved, instead of several stab incisions providing surgical access, a single one at the umbilicus, again avoiding scaring.  Appendicectomy, cholecystectomy and even partial colostomy were possible in this way which its protagonists thought was safe in well trained hands, virtually scar less, and of reasonable cost..

Organ Transplantation

The scope of tissue transplantation was widening.  Over the previous ten years intestinal transplants moved from an experimental to a more regular procedure, usually performed for people with a short gut as a result of Crohn's disease or the removal of tumours. In intestinal failure, the intestines can't digest food or absorb the fluids, electrolytes and nutrients essential for life.  Patients with intestinal failure who developed life-threatening complications from total parenteral nutrition (nutrition into a vein) could now be considered for gut transplantation with or without other organs such as the pancreas and liver, with a good chance of 5 year survival. 

A pioneering biomedical engineering operation in which tissue grown outside the body could be used, also took place. After many years careful laboratory, immunological and animal work, a joint team from Bristol, Spain and Italy collaborated in the removal of  a main bronchus largely blocked by tuberculosis that had led to lung collapse, and its replacement with a new piece, without the need to use drugs to suppress tissue rejection.  They began with a 7 cm segment of trachea from a 51 year old woman who had died of a brain haemorrhage. After stripping the trachea of all its potentially antigenic cells, the scientists reseeded the cartilage scaffold with cells from the recipient—a culture of epithelial cells from her own right bronchus for the inside of the graft and chondrocytes transformed from her own stem cells for the outside. They grew both types of cell in specially adapted cultures before being transferred to the graft over four days in a newly developed bioreactor.  Many months after surgery she remained in good health.

Orthopaedics and Trauma

An increasing understanding of how important it was to the very severely injured to be treated in a major trauma unit handling many such cases, led to pressure for reorganisation of the service.  According to a National Audit Office report our death rate was 20% higher than in the US.  London, in advance of the rest of the country, established a metropolitan wide trauma service based on four major trauma centres, The Royal London Hospital, Whitechapel, King’s College Hospital, Denmark Hill, St George’s Hospital, Tooting and St Mary’s Hospital, Paddington to which ambulances would preferentially take such cases.

Conflicts and disasters

The conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan had been accompanied by the development of new forms of weaponry, in particular IEDs (improvised explosive devices).  These, often laid by roads, led to severe injuries often characterised  by severe blast damage, flying debris, crush injuries and major burns.  Blast injuries to the brain were common and military surgery techniques developed rapidly to deal with these problems.  The effectiveness of the medical care was such that 90% of those seriously injured now lived, albeit often with horrendous injuries.  In Germany there was a tertiary care hospital and to this injured soldiers were rapidly evacuated.

The earthquake near Port-au-Prince in Haiti in January 2010 showed how a disaster, if it decapitated a country by removing its centre of government, health service, police and transport facilities, could create vast difficulties for international relief effort.  Organisations such as Médecins Sans Frontièrs (MSF) struggled to provide aid in a country with no functional port and minimal airport facilities, in the face of some 200,000 deaths and vast numbers of crush injuries.

Cardiovascular disease and cardiac surgery

For some 20 years coronary angioplasty had been available and increasingly centres had been using it in the acute phase of a heart attack.  In 2008 the Department of Health recommended that primary angioplasty should take over from thrombolytic drugs as the first line treatment for myocardial infarction, as it was associated with lower mortality and better long term outlook if carried out within 3 hours of onset.  Ambulance services collaborate closely with their receiving hospitals and networks, the focus shifting from provision of early thrombolytic treatment outside hospital to identifying those patients with a heart attack who might benefit from primary angioplasty, and transferring them rapidly to an appropriate hospital.  Cardiac Networks (also known as 'heart and stroke networks' since they facilitate improvements in stroke care) were  made up of clinicians, managers, commissioners and patients who work together to coordinate every aspect of patient care .

Artificial hearts

Steady progress was made with total implantable artificial hearts.  The Jarvic 7 (first used in 1982) was replaced by the CardioWest™ Total Artificial Heart, developed in Tucson Arizona.  By 2009 this had been used in over 800 patients.  Often used to buy time in a seriously ill patient while a heart transplant match was found, it was used at the Cleveland Clinic early in 2009 for the world's first Total Artificial Heart to double heart and liver transplant.  This artificial heart transplant was successful 4 times out of five, and the subsequent success of heart transplantation was one-year and five-year survival rates of  86 and 64 percent.

Cardiovascular surgery

Once viewed as a sub-specialty of general surgery with a surgeon undertaking a variety of vascular arterial procedures for part of his or her time, (repair of  abdominal aortic aneurysms, carotid stenosis and surgery on arteries in the leg),  vascular surgery now emerged as a specialty in its own right. Clinical evidence showed that patients achieved the best outcomes following surgery at a high volume hospital, by a vascular specialist team including surgeons and radiologists..  In London 75% of surgery took place in six hospitals and 25% is spread across another 12.  To improve outcomes, it was planned to concentrate surgery in London at fewer centres. 

Carotid artery stenosis

Carotid endarterectomy was effective in the prevention of stroke in patients with recent symptoms of carotid stenosis, and in younger patients without symptoms.  In skilled hands the risk of stroke and death from operation was no more than 3%.  Clinical trials of stents showed that the short term hazards were not as good as after surgery, with more ischaemic events.  Results were improving, but open operation was still safest and there was pressure for transient ischaemic attacks to be regarded as an emergency requiring rapid assessment for operation..

Ophthalmology

Technological improvements led to the development of better diagnostic equipment, for example simpler equipment to test for glaucoma, or to image the retina.  Multifocal lenses were tried in the treatment of cataract, but did not prove wholly satisfactory.  Drugs for the treatment of glaucoma, Avastin and Lucentis, were approved for general use by NICE and success was reported in the use of stem cells in the treatment of a rare form of inherited blindness, Leber's congenital amaurosis. 

Age related macular degeneration, earlier treated by laser, was increasingly managed with an anti-vascular endothelial growth factor drug (administered into the vitreous), representing the era of biological medicines for the management of neovascular disease. Stem cell treatment was also under development.

Cancer

Medical genetics now provided new approaches to diagnosis and treatment.  In 2009 the mapping of the entire genome of two patients with cancer (lung and malignant melanoma) showed that each had tens of thousands of  abnormal mutations.  Which were related to the cancer was not clear, though it was calculated that there was a mutation for every 15 cigarettes smoked.  It was however likely that as more patients were mapped, relevant mutations would be identified, opening a route to the development of new drugs and better treatment.

To the hundred or more drugs already in use for cancer, some 40 more were heading towards a licence, mostly effective and all expensive. Most derived from new knowledge of how cancer cells worked, and it became essential to develop new tests of effectiveness.  Each year the American  Society of Clinical Oncology reviewed  the studies of the previous year, to record the steady expansion of knowledge of cancer and its treatment.  In 2008 its report listed many advances in that year, often small but in total increasing the chance of a favourable outcome.  They included

  • Improvement in survival in advanced non–small-cell lung cancer with cetuximab when added to chemotherapy in patients with tumours expressing epidermal growth factor receptor

  • Improvement in survival in early-stage resected pancreatic cancer with gemcitabine

  • Bevacizumab in women with advanced breast cancer that does not express human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)

  • Reduction in the recurrence of early-stage breast cancer with additional years of hormonal therapy after the standard 5 years of tamoxifen

  • Reduction in the recurrence of early breast cancer with use of the osteoporosis bisphosphonate drug zoledronic acid

  • Reduction in melanoma recurrence with pegylated interferon

  • Reduction of the risk of ovarian cancer from use of oral contraceptives, with estimates that these drugs may have prevented some 200,000 cases of ovarian cancer and 100,000 deaths to date worldwide. Increase in the incidence of human papilloma virus (HPV)–related head and neck oral cancers, perhaps due to an increase in oral sex, which in turn suggests a potential new use for the HPV vaccine. Increase in risk of heart disease in childhood cancer survivors (about 5- to 10-fold increase compared with healthy siblings), emphasizing the need for life-long monitoring

Malignant melanoma of the skin was now the most common cancer in young women, increasing significantly over the previous ten years.  The increase seemed associated with tanning and sun beds, and warnings of the health risks did not seem to be taken seriously by the young.   The BMA had campaigned for controls on their use, and a private members bill was introduced in 2010 to restrict their use by those under 18 years of age.

Screening for bowel cancer by testing faeces for blood was introduced in 2007 and was scheduled to cover the whole country by the end of 2009.  Computer simulation suggested that it might save 2500 lives annually in the UK.  However one-off 5 minute screening by flexible sigmoidoscopy, (colonoscopy was already widely accepted on a five yearly basis in the USA for those over 55yrs), was shown  in a prospective trial by workers at Imperial College to reduce mortality by 43% compared with controls, as it offered the chance to remove polyps that might be pre-cancerous.(Atkin S et al, Lancet Online 28 April 2010)  For every 400 patients screened, one life would be saved.

Radiotherapy techniques advanced, and proton beam therapy became available at Clatterbridge Hospital, Wirral.  Other hospitals were invited to bid for funds for it.  Proton Beam Therapy (2009), then being used at a dozen centres in the USA, could cure tumours without damaging vital organs. Because of their relatively large mass, protons do not scatter much in the tissue; the beam does not broaden much and stays focused on the tumour shape without much damage to surrounding tissue. All protons of a given energy have a certain range; no proton penetrates beyond that distance. Although applicable to comparatively few patients, some, especially children, with highly specific types of cancer that occur in the retina, base of the skull and near the spine, this form of treatment could be better than conventional radiotherapy as it targets the tumour precisely, giving better dose distribution and not harming vital organs. 

Neurology

Hopes of better treatment for multiple sclerosis, a serious and disabling disease of the brain, were raised in 2008 by a trial of a monoclonal antibody Alemtuzumab, that targets CD52 on lymphocytes and monocytes.  It reduced the risk of sustained accumulation of disability compared with a previous drug, but had dangerous side effects.  Thrombocytopenic purpura developed in three patients, one of whom died.

Obstetrics and Gynaecology

The pattern of maternity care was changing steadily.  Fifty years previously maternity had been the bed-rock of general practice - if one looked after a mother one looked after a family and obstetric qualifications were valued in a new partner.  Over half deliveries were at home. As hospital services expanded, "shared care" became the aim, GPs doing much antenatal and postnatal care with midwives attached to their practices.  However over the years as the number of deliveries at home and in local units fell, GPs became less involved, less expert and - in medical school - less well trained. They became reluctant to be involved in care during labour sensing their inadequate training and experience and being unavailable outside normal hours - not the case in earlier years. Under the 2004 contract GP maternity services were no longer paid for separately but as part of the global income, removing a major incentive to involvement.  Government and NICE policy documents now hardly mentioned GPs as participants in care. The King's Fund reported that midwives were now the main health care providers for ‘low risk’ pregnancies. The role of GPs in maternity care could disappear completely, unless valid future responsibilities could be defined and clarified.  Mothers could no longer turn to their doctor in the same way and there was a risk of failure to ensure relevant information was shared among GPs, midwives and hospitals. Pregnant women wanted continuity of care and post-natal support which was in danger of being lost..

The country was experiencing a rise in the number of births, straining maternity services.  In 2008, there were 708,711 babies born in England and Wales. The number of births has increased each year since a dip in 2001, when there were 594,634 babies born. Increases in births were being driven by two main factors – increasing fertility rates among women born in the UK many of whom had delayed child bearing, and the increasing population of non-UK born women of childbearing age. Probably because of the increasing number of pregnancies in older mothers, the number of cases of Down's syndrome was increasing - from 1,075 diagnoses in 1990 to 1,843 by 2008 in England and Wales. Because of improved antenatal screening more Down's pregnancies were spotted and more abortions took place

Childbirth had never been safer. Antenatal care was reviewed, additional screening tests added and complex systems introduced to monitor antenatal and intrapartum care.  However technology was used not only to improve health care, but to avoid legal claims.  All babies had to be perfect, so caesarean section rates remained high.  Recordings of babies' hearts were kept indefinitely by some units, as in their absence a future claim by parents of a handicapped child would be hard to defend.  Babies had electronic tags to make abduction difficult.  In a society characterised by some as "me too", patients would complain if their requirements had to wait while others received attention.

Paediatrics

Neonatal intensive care

More babies needed neonatal care because of:

The survival of small babies was steadily improving as the details of care, monitoring and biochemistry, were better understood.  Below 23 weeks gestation the outlook was poor, but after that with each succeeding week results were better.  At 26 weeks babies stood an excellent chance of survival, particularly if they were delivered in, or rapidly transferred to, a large and experienced intensive neonatal care unit.  Such units might have 4 or more neonatologists (spending more than half their time on the specialty and ventilating perhaps 8 or more babies at a time) were uncommon but had significantly better results than the smaller, more common, paediatric intensive treatment units. Transfer before delivery was best when a mother went into premature labour, but the capacity of labour wards sometimes made this difficult. In 2009 the Department of Health issued a "tool kit" of recommendations aimed at developing clinical networks and increasing the quality of care.

Neonatal screening

Screening of the newborn for metabolic disease has started in the 1960s with tests for PKU (phenylketonuria).  Additions were soon made and the list expanded in England to include congenital hypothyroidism, cystic fibrosis, sickle cell disease, and Medium Chain Acyl CoA Dehydrogenase Deficiency.  It was also easy to screen for galactosaemia and in North America the list of conditions for which screening was undertaken could be far larger, including biotinidase deficiency, congenital adrenal hyperplasia,  homocystinuria, maple syrup urine disease and tyrosinemia.  One private clinic would test for 20 different conditions, and genetic testing added to the possibilities.

Geriatrics

Stroke

In 2005 the National Audit Office showed that stroke services were in a parlous state, and stroke became a national priority.  Extra stroke physicians were funded, with the aim of admitting all patients to dedicated stroke units.  If patients with symptoms of stroke were to receive the rapid imaging necessary before thrombolysis, within half an hour of admission, reorganisation of services was necessary.  In most parts of the country thrombolysis would spread to every district general hospital.  In London, however, a few hyperacute services would be established, supported by stroke recovery units and transient ischaemic attack services for possible minor strokes.

The Liverpool Care Pathway for the Dying Patient (LCP)

Over recent years there had been a major drive to ensure that all dying patients, and their relatives and carers, received a high standard of care in the last days and hours of their lives.  The Specialist Palliative Care Team at the Royal Liverpool University Hospitals and the Marie Curie Hospice, Liverpool developed the Liverpool Care Pathway for the Dying, (LCP).  The LCP was recognised as a model of best practice and was recommended in the NICE guidance on supportive and palliative care for patients with cancer (2004) as a way of identifying and meeting the needs of dying patients. It prompted staff to consider the continued need for invasive procedures and whether current medications really were conferring benefit. The clinician has the opportunity to follow the LCP guidance or to record the reason for decisions to determine a plan of care that deviated from this.  It required regular assessment and involves continuous reflection, challenge, critical decision-making and clinical skill.  The LCP, though widely welcomed, was criticised in some quarters.

Mental illness

How many beds?  Between 1955 and 1995 the number of beds for mental illness and learning disability fell from 150,000 to fewer than 55,000.  Over the next ten years there was a further reduction of 30%, care increasingly being delivered by community based teams.  While the number of admissions (perhaps for depression or dementia) fell, the number of those admitted 'involuntarily' increased by 20%, particularly for drug and alcohol problems.  Admissions for psychosis remained roughly constant.  The case-mix of inpatient facilities was changing as the number of beds continued to fall, and increased use was made of private facilities contracted to the NHS. BMJ 2008;337:a1837

Dementia

The steady rise in the number of people with dementia, the costs incurred and the doubts about the effectiveness of treatment led in 2009 to the publication of a national dementia strategy, Living well with dementia. It aimed to ensure better knowledge and earlier diagnosis of dementia, and to improve care.  Better and more coordinated local services, including memory clinics, were required.  Little advance, however had been made in the prevention or treatment of the condition. Pressure groups commissioned studies showing that there were far more patients than had been estimated, perhaps some 800,000, and called for more research into the increasing problem.

General Practice and Primary Care

Commissioning structure

The coalition administration, feeling that PCT commissioning had failed, planned to establish 5-600 gp consortia to take over, directly responsible to a new independent NHS board, and contracting directly with providers.

Workload and Patterns of provision

The increasing involvement of family doctors in health promotion and the care of long term illnesses was mirrored by reducing involvement in maternity services, now largely the province of midwives and the hospital services.  The way primary care was provided was changing.  Government continued to see  advantage in supporting community based services.  The 2008 Transforming Community Services (TCS) programme aimed to improve them and provide modern personalised and responsive care of a consistently high standard. In London in particular, where accommodation was often poor, the polyclinic concept was slowly developed partly under the influence of Lord Darzi.  It aimed to combine GP and routine hospital care with a range of health and support services such as benefits support and housing advice. General practices, a walk in clinic, investigations such as breast cancer screening and consultant sessions in for example cardiology and ophthalmology, might be co-located. Services such as X-rays and blood tests would be available. They were open from 8am to 8pm every day including at weekends and available to people even if they were not registered there. Some were developed around existing systems but others were new, for example Heart of Hounslow, and the Loxford Clinic in Redbridge.   The Loxford Clinic opened in 2009 providing the premises for a practice, consulting rooms for specialties such as dermatology and ophthalmology, modest imaging facilities but no parking.  With a capital cost of £6.5 million and equipment a further £2.5 million, whether the large building was an effective use of resources was not clear. There were high hopes that the initial expenditure on establishing the clinics would lead to major savings by encouraging the transfer of work from a high cost hospital environment to a community setting.  There was little hard evidence for this belief and an evaluation was commissioned.

Contracts

 In 2008 the Public Accounts Committee delivered a damning report on GP pay and the earlier contractual n4egotiations.  Pay had risen an eye-watering 58% but targets had been set too low and the 2003/4 contract had failed to live up to expectations.  Gordon Brown, the then Prime Minister, made extended surgery opening a priority.  After acrimonious negotiation and a poll, general practices accepted the proposed changes to the contract for 2008/09, which would give GPs financial incentives to provide longer opening hours. [How GPs are paid]

Over 10-20 years the number of salaried doctors steadily increased until, in 2009, probably some 40% were on a salary and, indeed, very many were locums.  Salaried practice often suited young doctors female and male, and large and business-like partnerships might take advantage of the situation.  While the British Medical Association had a model contract, only a third of salaried doctors used this. Primary care trusts (PCTs) were having an increasing influence on practices. A practice might find the PCT willing to fund new staff members in the practice team, for example a physiotherapist providing open access to patients or a psychotherapist.  They could bring pressure on practices to extend their hours of opening as well as use the quality and outcomes framework as an incentive.

The Alterative Provider Medical Services Contract (APMS) allowed primary care trusts to contract services from groups outside the NHS, including commercial and voluntary organisations.  PCTs were slow to do so, mainly using the system to fill specific requirements but by 2008 some 100 practices were being run by alternative providers and it was GP-led companies that had been most successful in bidding for these contracts.  Corporate providers and social enterprises had been successful in a minority of cases.  GPs had an inbuilt advantage in that while they might be strangers to the complex process of tendering, they had local knowledge and the financial advantage of remaining within the NHS pension scheme. Some supported this development as encouraging innovation and challenging the existing pattern of delivery; other saw it as an aggressive commercial take-over of general practice.  The policy risked spending money on services in places where they were not really needed, or destabilising local practices providing a good service.

GP led Health Centres

In the attempt to improve access to primary care, ideas could get muddled.  Pressure for "polyclinics" which could bring practices together and at the same time, provide backup and facilities that would enable some transfer of care from hospitals, could be confused with an another initiative to increase competition, GP led health centres, which might be far smaller. In December 2007 government required every PCT to tender for one, open from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. providing walk in services for unregistered patients, but also registering them. The first such centre opened in Bradford in November 2008 and within 2010 there were 80 or more. In areas where they opened, local practices were soon extending their hours, for example to Saturday mornings and into the evening. Many tenders were won by local GPs who formed their own companies or cooperatives. Others went to commercial organisations often in partnership with GPs.  The patterns varied.  The Chairman of the BMA's Council, though opposing private sector initiatives, himself belonged to one of 4 practices that jointly bid successfully for a GP led health centre in Bridlington.

Out of hours

Concern continued over the provision of services out of hours since NHS GPs had transferred their responsibilities to primary care trusts. Complaints about the service increased substantially. Because it was hard to recruit local doctors, PCTs and the organisations with whom they contracted might look far and wide for staff, often to Europe.  Reports suggested that at best only one in four of people requesting a visit got one; it might be far fewer and "telephone diagnosis" was common.  The population covered by an out of hours deputy might vary from 30,000 in some areas to 300,000 in others and PCT spending on services varied widely.

It was hardly surprising that failures of the system might be dramatic and attract national interest. The death of a patient given ten times the normal dose of heroin by a German locum led the Care Quality Commission to investigate the arrangements in 5 PCTs and, recognising a wider problem,  to "encouraged PCTs across the country to scrutinize in more detail the out-of-hours services they commissioned". The Times (4 February 2009) described the out of hours service as a disaster and an avoidable one, as a result of the way the Department of Health had, during contractual negotiations, allowed out of hours care to move from GPs to PCTs at minimal cost to the doctors. A review by the Department of Health and the RCGP (strangely described as 'independent') laid the responsibility on SHAs and Primary Care Trusts, largely absolving GPs from responsibility.  The Conservatives promised re-negotiation, to return responsibility for care to local doctors.

Quality

The Quality and Outcomes Framework (QOF), introduced in 2004 and accounting for some 15% of primary care costs and up to a third of a practice's income, was improving the process of care at least as far as the conditions covered by the framework though possibly other aspects such as personal and continuity of care were sacrificed in the process.  Essentially a contractual system of financial incentives for the delivery of quality care, it covered clinical care, organisation, patient experience and additional services. Consistent improvements were recorded for intermediate outcomes such as blood pressure and cholesterol, and secondary prevention was promoted.  Significantly, practices in deprived areas achieved similar levels of cover to practices in more affluent areas and was seen as a way of reducing inequalities of care. The framework was altered regularly, seven times by 2010.  It was under the supervision of primary care academics, overseen by the RCGP and lay representatives, and from 2009 incorporated advice from NICE. The challenge was discarding less effective components, introducing new ideas and considering value for money.  From a focus on structure and process in common chronic conditions, it increasingly took account of disease prevention and outcomes.

Most GPs did not take their own phone calls out of surgery hours and there was a reliance on various systems of triage.  Studies suggested that the decisions taken by "triagists" varied and that a substantial proportion of decisions were wrong.  Outcome studies did not reveal many problems as a result, possibly because most calls were only about trivial matters.  Advice was given after asking too few questions, and without properly interpreting the answers.  There were significant dangers to patients and the protocols used were hard to assess because they were not publicised, nor available on-line allowing them to be studied.(BMJ 2008:337: a1167)  The Healthcare Commission, reporting on emergency and urgent service in September 2008, found gaps and variation in performance.  In 65% of areas, out-of-hours GP services met the requirement that they started telephone assessments within 20 minutes of a patient’s initial contact if a patient’s needs were urgent, and within 60 minutes otherwise. In some areas, less than 80% of assessments are started within these timescales. NHS Direct exceeded the target for starting telephone-based assessments within 20 minutes for urgent calls (priority 1) and 60 minutes for other urgent calls (priority 2) in 95% of cases. It achieved this for 98% of priority one, and 99% of priority 2 calls.  The Commission suggested the piloting of a single telephone number for urgent care services which had the potential to ensure fewer people attend the wrong services.  The delay patients experienced, in general greater than in earlier times when the GP or his deputy immediately picked up the phone, was one possible cause of increased strain on A & E Departments. 

Substitution of nurses for doctors in primary care, increasingly common, might be cost effective and outcome studies suggested no great differences between the two types of practitioners in fields such as the follow up of patients with long term illnesses.  Nevertheless the characteristics of GPs and nurses differed,.  Doctors, said a BMJ editorial, needed to deal with uncertainties and take risks, while nurses were more attuned to following protocols and providing hands on care.

Hospital Services

The four UK countries

As a result of the devolution of health service management to the four nations of the UK, marked differences were emerging in hospital services.  It was not just differences in the money available to spend.  Policies led to different incentives.  In England targets to improve performance, payment by results and the increasing emphasis on the provider/commissioner split and patient focus gad driven change.  Scotland had abolished the internal market and had integrated boards purchasing and providing primary and secondary care, Wales was looking at the Scottish model and Northern Ireland continued with its integration of health and social services.  Compared with the others, England had shorter waits in A and E in part because the reduction of waiting times seemed associated with a greater rise in attendances than elsewhere.  Proportionately more patients were discharged rapidly, within a day of admission, in England.

Hospital overnight bed numbers in England.

The beds available for patients overnight continued to fall, with about 85% occupancy of acute beds, and 90% in geriatric wards.

YearAcuteGeriatricMaternityTotal

2005/06

 108,134

24,692

8,881

 141,707

2006/07

 104,079

22,897

8,643 

 135,619

2007/08101,08020,7008,441130,221
2008/09100,89220,7968,386128,054

Hospital reconfiguration.

Over the previous decade the the need to base reconfiguration on clinical outcomes had become paramount.  Fourteen senior doctors including College Presidents wrote to The Guardian in April 2010

"There has been a wealth of clinical evidence for many years that specialist clinical services, such as stroke, trauma and heart surgery, should be concentrated in fewer centres. This would allow the latest equipment to be sited with a critical mass of expert clinicians who regularly manage these challenging clinical problems, and are backed by the most up-to-date research. The greater volumes of patients mean doctors are better at spotting problems and treating them quickly. Survival and recovery rates would improve markedly with many lives saved. As techniques and technology have developed over recent years, speciality rather than proximity has become the key for patient safety. So increased patient safety and improved care must be the major drivers of any reconfiguration."

They made it clear that unpopular closures would be needed and simply condemning changes as bad and defending the status quo was not in patients' interests. Political rhetoric however suggested that public opinion should be a key factor in reconfiguration, and most people and most MPs felt the proximity of a service was more important than clinical outcomes.  Conflict was inevitable.

Darzi's reports had stimulated action in the ten strategic health authorities with London perhaps a year in advance. Healthcare for London, a programme run by the London PCTs published substantive proposals in November 2008. Maintaining the District General Hospital pattern of the 1960s was no longer relevant because of the development of community services (e.g. polyclinics) and the need for treatments such as for heart attacks and strokes to be centralised, it said that

 "A local hospital, serving a population of around 250,000 would include a 24-hour accident and emergency (A&E) department, paediatric assessment unit, maternity unit, and provide inpatient emergency care alongside critical care services. In addition to other clinical services, it could also include a 24/7 polyclinic at its front door, treating non-urgent cases and providing direct access to diagnostics tests and outpatients. This will prevent many unnecessary trips to A&E departments. There is not a one-size fits all local hospital as the range of clinical services must be driven by local need."

It suggested how urgent or more routine illnesses might pass involve community services, a polyclinic, a local hospital or a major one. It produced financial models that indicated how the income of hospitals might change as the pattern of work altered.  There was a belief that substantial savings could be made if care could be moved into the community.  Polyclinics were seen as central to a reduction of the demand for, and the cost of, hospital services - particularly in London.  The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine would undertake a two year evaluation of the early polyclinics.

Content of a local hospital

A&E department (24 hours)

Critical care facilities, level 3 (managing patients that require ventilation)

Paediatric assessment unit (18 hours)

Outpatient services

Urgent care centre (treating minor illness and injury)

Maternity services with a special care baby unit

Emergency surgery for non-complex cases (12 to 16 hours a day e.g. abscesses, internal bleeding, bowel obstruction)

Diagnostics (including X-ray, ultrasound, CT scans)

Medical cases requiring a hospital stay (e.g. pneumonia, heart failure, liver disease)

Pathology (blood tests, etc)

Illustration from report

 

Services in London  (additional material at London's Hospitals)

To improve health service planning in London, London NHS, the Strategic Health Authority, hosted Healthcare for London, a10-year programme to transform healthcare and standards of health in the capital, established and paid for by the London Primary Care Trusts.  This sought to improve PCT commissioning primarily be examining types of care where outcomes cold be improved by reorganising provision.  In February 2009 it issued a consultative document making the case for 4 trauma units and 10 hyperacute stroke units in February 2009, ambulance services triaging patients. In July 2009 after consultation the London PCTs agreed major service changes.  Cardiac services had already been reconfigured so patients went immediately to hospitals with 24 hour cardiac surgical facilities.

Four Major Trauma Centres

Eight Hyper Acute Stroke Units

  • The Royal London Hospital
  • St George’s Hospital
  • King’s College Hospital
  • St Mary’s Hospital
  • Northwick Park Hospital
  • Charing Cross Hospital
  • University College Hospital
  • St George’s Hospital
  • King’s College Hospital
  • The Royal London Hospital
  • The Princess Royal University Hospital
  • Queen’s Hospital
    supported by 24 stroke units where patients would continue their recovery

Healthcare for London, and its successor Commissioning Support for London which brought together a number of organisations that made contributions to planning, continued to work on related fields such as the desirability of concentrating arterial cardiovascular services.

Other reconfiguration of services was taking place steadily.  Moorfield's Foundation Trust continued to open off-site units of which there were 11 by 2008.  Hospitals would approach Moorfield's for assistance in maintaining a viable ophthalmic services, both sides benefiting. Clinical networks developed at a professional level with little management involvement. 

One of the first actions of the Conservative/Liberal Secretary of State in May 2010 was to call a temporary halt of restructuring proposals nationally.  The NHS Chief Executive indicated four key areas of reconfiguration proposals

This decision led to the resignation of the London SHA chairman and some of the non-executive directors, who were committed to proposals at an advanced stage.

Academic Health Science Centres

The development of academic health science centres steadily proceeded.  The Imperial College Health Care Trust, early in the field, was in no doubt that the UK was losing its position as a leader in biomedical research, in part for want of government support. Imperial thought the NHS had been poor in translating research into service and patient outcomes lagged far behind other western countries.  It saw academic health science centres as key to the future of the NHS, and indeed that it was itself pre-eminent in this field, and the only organisation in the UK likely to be able to compete on a global scale.

Academic Health Science Centres had been supported in the Department of Health's Next Stages review.  An international panel chaired by  Sir Ian Kennedy selected the organisations to be designated academic health science centres allowing the government to identify the university and NHS partnerships best able to make the most of the synergies between research, education and health services to translate research into better care.  These would increase the speed at which research is taken "from bench to bedside and back again".  Reporting in March 2009, Alan Johnson named the successful centres, for five years, would be

Cambridge University Health Partners
Imperial College
King's Health Partners
Manchester AHSC
UCL Partners

Independent sector treatment centres were failing to deliver full value.  Though paid above tariff levels, few seemed likely to deliver more than 90% of the services for which they were paid during the first 5 years of their contracts. Transferring waiting list work from NHS units was sometimes used, but it seemed unlikely that all ISTCs would justify renewal of contracts or succeed when payments moved to tariff. levels.  The Department agreed to meet the buy-back costs of residual assets were a centre to close.

Hospital building

The NHS Plan (2000) had announced a major building programme, much funded by PFI, to replace and modernise the aging NHS estate, half of which dated from before 1948. Capital stock was now better, it was now down to 20 percent with 100 schemes completed and many others underway at a cost of £12 billion.  Department of Health (and Scottish) guidance now suggested that new hospital wards should contain at least 50% of accommodation in single rooms.  Maidstone and Tunbridge Wells trust replaced its ageing Pembury Hospital with the NHS's first all single room acute hospital, a 230 million PFI scheme to open in 2011. The new hospital provided all patients - except those in the special care baby unit - with their own ensuite room.  This welcomed by patients' organisations and might help to reduce cross infection rates.

Private Finance Initiative

The financial crisis made credit hard to obtain and this affected PFI. In 2009 the Treasury announced plans to lend to recession hit PFI schemes, perhaps using under spent capital from elsewhere in the NHS budget.  Of 22 hospital schemes planned in England in 2007, two years later only eleven were being pursued, not just because of the credit crunch but because PFI was now well recognised to lock hospitals into decades of fixed overheads, just when policy was encouraging a shift to care outside the hospital.  In some cases up to 15% of revenue was predicated in this way.  The recession exposed difficulties in PFI with a lack of both public and private capital finance.

The buildings and facilities of some 15 independent treatment centres were purchased by the NHS.  Though in the private sector, re-financing the capital would be hard in the recession .  Costing some £200 million, some contracts with the private sector might be renewed, the NHS acting as landlord.  Some schemes in Nottingham and Merseyside would cost £40 million each.

Medical Education and Staffing

Links within this page

Medical education

In 2010 the Medical Schools Council listed the following medical schools in England.

East Anglia
Cambridge (University of), School of Clinical Medicine
University of East Anglia

Greater London
Barts and The London School of Medical and Dentistry
King's College London School of Medicine (at Guy's King's College and St Thomas' Hospital)
Imperial College School of Medicine, London
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (Postgraduate Medical School)
St George's, University of London
University College London, University College Medical School

Midlands
Birmingham (University of), School of Medicine
Keele University, School of Medicine
Leicester (University of), Leicester Medical School
Warwick (University of), Warwick Medical School
Nottingham (The University of), Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences
North East
Durham (University of), Queens Campus, Stockton, Phase 1 Medicine
Hull York Medical School
Leeds (University of), School of Medicine
Newcastle (University of), Newcastle Biomedicine, The Medical School
Sheffield (The University of), School of Medicine

North West
Liverpool (University of), Faculty of Health and Life Sciences
Manchester (University of), Faculty of Medicine and Human Sciences

South
Brighton and Sussex Medical School
Oxford (University of)
Southampton (University of), School of Medicine

South West
Bristol (University of), Faculty of Medicine
Peninsula Medical and Dental School
Medical schools in England, by region, with hyperlinks

The General Medical Council updated Tomorrow's Doctors,  its guidance on the undergraduate medical curriculum, in 2009.  The British Medical Association also updated its 2004 study on medical school entry and considered that access to a professional career in the UK had become more and more inflexible over time. The majority of medical school students were still drawn from professional and managerial backgrounds. The age, ethnicity and gender profile of medical school students raised questions about the structure of medical education and about the future composition of the profession.

Balancing the numbers in training and job opportunities at a macro level had been a problem since the start of the NHS.  Medical unemployment once more became a possibility with the increased output, changes in clinical practice with nurses and others undertaking some traditional medical roles, and the influx of overseas and European trained doctors.

The additional costs and reduction in services that medical education imposed on teaching hospitals had been recognised for thirty years by the Service Increment for Teaching (SIFT). Greatly significant for all medical schools and hospitals providing clinical placements, in the older medical schools SIFT could be considerable, £25 million to a teaching hospital. There had been little or no auditing of these sums and the money passing to the central teaching hospital could be substantially higher than that going to other hospitals with substantial teaching commitments. As part of the allocation system the NHS ichanged the way SIFT (and MADEL the levy for junior doctor training) worked, planning to set a sum for each student for each week in placement, to make the system more transparent and more fair across the country.

Medical staffing

Changes in the training system were affecting service delivery.  In August 2009 the European Working Time Directive came into force limiting the average hours worked by junior doctors to 48 per week. Concerns about it included the running of the service, patient safety and the reduction in training experience.  The President of the Royal College of Surgeons expressed anxiety about the effect on patient care as the teams that were rostered took over from each other.  With restricted hours and and increased commitments to education rather than service, who kept the service running?  With hours more than in many other countries, would competence be acquired under the new system? "Surgery is a body-contact sport, there is no question about it. You can’t be a good armchair surgeon". Bosk CL. Forgive and remember. University of Chicago Press, 1979  Nor did juniors always have the skills of their predecessors; when medical students no longer delivered babies, a new house officer who had never done so or stitched a tear was not a great help.  Hospitals were increasingly employing nurse practitioners and staff grade (sub-consultant) doctors.

Responding  to the independent inquiry into Modernising Medical Careers (MMC) the Department of Health published its response to Sir John Tooke's report and set up a new advisory body to operate at arms length from Ministers. NHS Medical Education England (MEE), established on 1 January 2009 to provide independent expert advice on training and education for doctors, dentists, health care scientists and pharmacists.  It would be a non departmental public body supported by a secretariat from the Department of Health.  Not quite the body proposed by Sir John Took in his report, it would be concerned with postgraduate training and would need to relate to the GMC.  In May the Secretary of State asked MME to review the effect of the European Working Time Directive on the training of junior doctors and the anxiety that the introduction of a 48-hour working week might have a detrimental effect .The Post-graduate Medical Education and Training Board (PMETB), the independent regulator of standards of training, would assess where changes to training might be necessary as a consequence of reduced working hours.

Problems remained.  Hospitals had received virtually all the salary of junior staff in training, staff who required almost continuous supervision.  It was now proposed to reduce the money hospitals received in this way.  With their shorter hours and educational commitments they might not represent value for money compared with other ways of providing care and trusts might not be so keen to have so many junior staff in the future.

Women in medicine

The increasing number of women entering the medical profession, set to form the majority within ten years, made it important to consider the effect on the NHS, and of the employment opportunities in the NHS for on women.  The Royal College of Physicians published a report in 2009 on Women in Medicine - the future - the report stating that

However the preferences of women doctors, as with male doctors, might not match with career opportunities.  With an increasing output from medical schools, the ability of doctors from overseas to compete on level terms with those trained in the UK, and the probability that the economic down-turn would limit the expansion of medical staffing in the NHS, the labour market for doctors looked set to become much harsher. BMJ 2009; 338: 1397

Nursing

Links

Nurse_education_and_staffing

Nursing_practice

Nursing administration

The Prime Minister's Commission

Early in 2009 Gordon Brown established a Nursing Commission, chaired by Ann Keen MP, a Minister and a nurse, to review nursing.  Addressing the Royal College of Nursing he said "Nursing has become even more central to the future of both healthcare and all our fabric of social life in our country. Nurses are now performing operations ...are now prescribing .... running services,... as managers, nurse consultants, nurse practitioners, and ... we want nurses to be more involved and more central and more in control of what happens in the health service in the future."  The Commission would "look at all the trends and all the changes and all the forces at work that are going to change our society and also change nursing in the years to come....and  take the next steps to enhancing... and improving the status of nursing in our country for years to come." 

Ann Keen said, 37 years after the Briggs Report, that the Commission aimed to usher in a new era that locates nursing, midwifery and care issues in a central position in policymaking and management, and stimulate wide interest in and ownership of the need to promote improvements. "We will tell a new story about the future nurse and midwife, to create a modern, realistic but inspiring public image - or plurality of images."  Anne Marie Rafferty, Dean of the Florence Nightingale School of Nursing and Midwifery, King’s College London, wrote "We need to raise the bar in nursing and midwifery education, practice and research, rooting out poor performance and standing up for standards".  What was less clear was the problem that the Commission was established to solve - it was hard to imagine that a similar commission would have been established to look at medicine and doctors.  In October 2009 the Commission published its vision. "Its ultimate goal is that all nursing and midwifery staff fulfil their potential to help people who use NHS services, families and communities achieve the best possible health and well being...... 


The report of the commission, Front Line Care, was published in March 2010 attracting little media comment.  Its tone was positive.  Some of the problems and shortcomings of nursing were acknowledged but rapidly passed over, not directly addressed.  For example, the problems of the recruitment and retention of quality applicants who could communicate well, do their maths, and be kind and caring; and the continuing difficulty of a nursing course based essentially in the university sector which did not turn out nurses ready for the major responsibilities that would fall on their shoulders.  Nursing aspirations were dealt with at length; nurses must be “placed centre-stage” to address the needs of the growing elderly population and those with chronic conditions, and that ward sisters must be returned to a visible position of hospital authority as part of an overhaul of nursing and midwifery.

The report recommended protection of the title “nurse”, with only those registered by the Nursing and Midwifery Council (NMC) allowed to use the term - even though much if not most nursing was now undertaken by others, for example healthcare assistants who were responsible for much patient care as well as tasks such as blood pressure checks.  These, though not "nurses" should be more carefully regulated though scant attention was paid to their major contribution to patient well-being.

The commission also called for regulation of specialist nurses who focussed on particular conditions such as cancer, Parkinson’s and epilepsy.

It recommended a new pledge for all nurses and midwives stating their commitment to, and accountability for, high quality and continuously improving care. The report also stressed the importance of skilled midwifery to meet the challenges of a rising birth rate and persistent health inequalities.

Recommendations of Front Line Care

  • A pledge to deliver high quality care

  • Senior nurses’ and midwives’ responsibility for care

  • Corporate responsibility for care

  • Strengthening the role of the ward sister

  • Evaluating nursing and midwifery

  • Protecting the title ‘nurse’

  • Regulating nursing and midwifery support workers

  • Regulating advanced nursing and midwifery practice

  • Building capacity for nursing and midwifery innovation

  • Nursing people with long-term conditions

  • Nurses’ and midwives’ contribution to health and wellbeing

  • A named midwife for every woman

  • Staff health and wellbeing

  • Flexible roles and career structures

  • Measuring progress and outcomes

  • Educating to care

  • Marketing nursing and midwifery

  • Fast-track leadership development

  • Integrating practice, education and research

  • Making best use of technology

 Nurse education and staffing

The large NHS nursing force required a substantial proportion of each year's cohort of young people, people who had many other options. It was not particularly successful and many student nurses were in their late twenties.  Project 2000 had aimed to professionalise nursing by encouraging greater academic involvement with university diploma courses and, for the minority, degree courses.  The gap between the diploma and the prevailing standards of the degree was not however great.  Sometimes the aims of nursing education that included the development of nurses as people with enquiring minds who wished to change matters, conflicted with the needs of the service and the requirement for compassionate and consistent care. University nursing courses varied significantly in their quality of their intakes and in the percentage finishing their course.  At one London course only 8% of a cohort completed training.  Some hospitals withdrew nurse student placements from courses where the support to students was poor.

In November 2007 the government and the Nursing and Midwifery Council (NMC) launched a Review of pre-registration nursing education to ensure that all  nurses of the future are equipped to work in a modern healthcare environment. The consultation was based on a set of draft Standards that set out what nursing students must demonstrate to be fit for practice at the point of registration. Some are standards for competence, the knowledge, skills and attitudes that graduate nurses need to demonstrate at the point of registration.  Others are standards for education that all pre-registration nursing programmes must meet, including those relating to the teaching, learning and assessment of nursing students.

Consultation closed in April 2010, the intention being that a new syllabus would be introduced in the autumn of 2011.  In 2009 government, in agreement with the NHS and the nursing professions, said that from September 2011 all nursing students would undertake degree courses meeting new standards to be developed by the NMC as had been the case in Wales since 2004.  The Royal College of Nursing described this as "an important and historic development." Whether it would make nursing more or less attractive as a profession was hard to say. Few hospitals knew the proportion of their present nursing workforce already with a degree though nationally about a quarter did.  However, for every 4 registered nurses with either a diploma or a degree (315,410 whole time equivalents in 2008) there was at least one health care assistant.  The new policy would probably shift the balance towards the health care assistants and much basic nursing would continue to fall on their shoulders. While they could later enter courses leading to full registration, there was a case for greater support and possibly higher pay for well trained support posts.  Employers would need to look at how they used all their nursing staff, both registered and non-registered, ensuring they had the right skills mix for the task required.  "Second tier nurses" had always been important, and might be more so in the future. Quite as important was the need to develop systems to bring practical assessments back into nursing and to terminate training when practice fell short, regardless of an individual's academic ability.

The number of nurses registering in England continued to rise.  In 2009 there were 561,443 (698,653 headcount) nursing, midwifery & health visiting staff.  57% were qualified and of these 6.3% were midwives, 2.5% district nurses, 2.6% health visitors and 3.6% registered children's' nurses. The number of qualified nursing, midwifery & health visiting staff increased by an average of 2.6% per year between 1999 and 2009, and has increased by 2.2% between 2008 and 2009.

New registrations in England

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

15,862

16,146

16,848

17,270

17,538

Initial registration of overseas nurses/midwives with the UKCC and the NMC

The number of overseas nurses registering in the UK fell substantially.  Most of those arriving now came from the Indian subcontinent.  The Philippines now provided few.

Year

EU countries  

Other countries

Other countries including EU

2000/2001

1,291

8,403

9,694

2003/4

1030

14,122

15,152

2005/6

1,753

8,709

10,472

2007/81,8722,3094,191

Nursing practice

In line with the attempt to measure the quality of care, stressed in the Darzi reports, Alan Johnson (the Health Secretary) suggested that in the nursing field treating patients with compassion, reducing the number of falls on wards and good hand-washing were the indicators that could be used to measure the quality of nursing care in the NHS.  Compassionate care -  whether patients are treated with compassion and whether they are fully kept informed of what is happening with their treatment; effectiveness including the nutritional state of patients, minimisation of pain and results of hand-washing audits.  Safety could encompass indicators such as the number of falls on a ward or infection rates.  The 2009 Report from the Patients' Association, Patients not numbers, People not statistics, showed how far the NHS had to go.

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Geoffrey Rivett©